
Figure 1. Proposed
relationship
between gross and net income.
|
Bring
Back Truly Progressive Taxation and Eliminate Poverty with
BI+CI: Basic
Income plus Constant Incentive
Richard
Parncutt
1985-2025 |
BI+CI
stands for Basic
Income plus
Constant Incentive (also called Basic Income and Flat Tax or BIFT). BI+CI
is
a promising approach to public economics that could solve
a long
series of
social,
political, and economic problems. Under
BI+CI,
- everyone
always receives a basic income (that is, the BI it is
universal and unconditional) and
- everyone
is motivated to work to the same degree (incentive is constant, hence
CI),
because everyone keeps the
same proportion of their additional earnings (the rate of tax
applied to additional earnings is constant).
BI+CI or
BICI is
pronounced bee-chee, like bici
(bike in Italian, short for bicicletta).
But BI+CI has nothing to do with bikes. In Chinese, bǐ cǐ means
"each other". The aim of BI+CI is to create a
society in which people look after each other, ensuring that no-one
falls into poverty while at the time motivating everyone to contribute
to society with work and ideas.
BI+CI
is perceived
differently by people on the political right and left. Which of
the following are you?
- If
you are politically conservative, you may be attracted by the idea
of
reducing the size and complexity of government, or simplifying
bureacracy. Both BI and CI would do that. You may also
worry about the implications of giving everyone BI. You may fear that
society
can't afford it or that people would
no longer want to work. We will return to these questions below.
- If you
sympathize with the political left, you may want to end poverty. BI
would do that. You
may realize that advances in technology and artificial
intelligence
are threatening jobs like never before, and see BI as a possible
solution. Conversely, you may be wondering why we invented all that
great technology without taking advantage of it to reduce working
hours. Surely advances in technology make it possible and reasonable
for many people not to work (in the sense of earning money) at
all? You
may want unemployment
offices to stop hassling and stigmatizing the unemployed and give them
more freedom to choose a job that suits their abilities and aspirations.
You may simply
want to make the rich pay -- to reduce the injustice of the rising
wealth gap. BI+CI would do all of that. But you may have a problem with
the flat income tax that creates CI (Constant Incentive).
A flat tax? Seriously?
BI+CI achieves constant incentive by taxing additional income (income
beyond BI) at a constant rate.
In other words, it includes a flat income tax.
For the purpose of
this article, I will assume
that BI is €1000
per month and CI is 50%. Everyone
gets €1000
per month and
everyone also keeps half of any additional income. Additional income is
effectively taxed at a flat rate of 50%. Expressed mathematically, the
income tax
rate is (1-CI).
Calls for "flat income tax" often come from the political right or
people
with high incomes who are trying to pay less tax. They are thinking of
something very different from BI+CI. They want a low income tax rate
that applies equally to everyone. Countries that have recently
implemented that include Russia, Hungary, Romania, and Bolivia. BI+CI
assumes a much higher flat tax rate, more like Greenland (45% according
to Investopedia).
Although a low, flat
income tax ostensibly treats everyone equally, in practice it allows the
rich to get
richer and the gap between rich and poor to
get wider. Mathematically, such a tax is neither progressive nor
regressive, but because it tends to increase the wealth gap, it is effectively
regressive.
That is catastrophic,
when you consider how the growth
of the billionaire class is undermining democracy.
BI+CI is different. If a relatively high, flat income
tax is combined with an unconditional basic income, the
result is implicitly
progressive: the
more you
earn (i.e., the
greater is your gross income), the higher is the proportion of your
gross income that you effectively
pay in tax (i.e., flat tax minus BI). This point is explained
in detail with examples below, in the section on implicit progressivity.
Readers who
doubt that flat tax can be progressive in that way are kindly asked to
read that section before continuing.
From
a left-wing viewpoint, a
flat income tax is either good or bad, depending
on
the context
in which it is
introduced. If there is no unconditional BI, flat income tax
is bad and should be avoided. But if flat income
tax is combined with an unconditional BI, as in BI+CI, it's a promising
left-wing idea.
Left-
versus right-wing approaches
to BI+CI
People on the political left and right approach BI+CI differently.
Which of the following are you?
- If
you identify with the right, you may worry that BI would give
people something for nothing. In fact, a
large proportion of wealth
is inherited, and depending on the tax system, most may be inherited (more).
That is, people
often get something for nothing -- especially if they are already well
off. Whether
you agree with that or not, you may still think that a BI would remove
the motivation to work. It is true that the motivation to work would
depend on the amount of the BI. If it was too high, many would choose
not to work. But with a relatively low rate
of BI the motivation to work depends more on the
relationship between increases
in work and increases
in
income -- that is, the gradient of the
function of net income against gross income (see Figure 1 above). That
being the case, BI, when combined
with CI to create BI+CI, would increase the
motivation to work for low income earners.
- If
you identify with the left, you may be worried that the proposed BI is
too low -- not enough to cover basic needs. But the unconditionality of
BI also has
value. Even with a relatively low BI, the combination of BI+CI
can
eliminate poverty. You may also be worried about "flat
tax" (the above
text may not have convinced you). No problem, we will return
to
both these points.
For
different
reasons, BI+CI may be rejected by both left and right.
Left-wingers may feel it is not progressive enough, if BI does
not
clearly and completely cover basic needs, or everyone has to pay income
tax. Right-wingers may fear some new kind of
socialism sneaking in by the back door. But BI+CI is
neither left nor right. Governments, voters, and economists would be
free to make BI+CI as left
or as right as they want. They would do that by adjusting two numbers:
BI, the rate of basic income for most people, and CI, the proportion of
additional income that all people take home.
A left-wing approach to
BI+CI has a high BI and a low CI, whereas a right-wing approach has a
low BI and a high CI.
- In
the extreme left-wing case, CI=0. But
that cannot
work, as we know from history of communism. With no financial
incentive to work, the BI can hardly be financed.
- In
the extreme right-wing case, BI=0. Some anarchists believe
we don't need any
government at all. Therefore, we don't need tax, so CI=100%. That would
mean the end of
civilization.
Amazing
but true: there are revolutionaries out there who actually
like those two alternatives. Thankfully, they represent a
tiny minority. In a functioning democracy, the vast majority find
themselves somewhere in the middle. If
BI was €1000/month
and CI was 50% -- if people could keep half of all additional
income, the other
half going to the government --
people on the left and right would
react
differently.
Those on the
left would want to raise BI and lower CI, while those on the right
would want to lower BI and raise CI.
In
that regard, BI+CI is
politically neutral, but in another way, BI+CI is biased toward the
left. It is
simpler and more transparent
than the current
system. That makes it easier for voters to understand, and harder for
populists to trick voters into voting against their
interests. Transparency is improved, which improves democracy.
Before continuing, I have a special request to the reader. Please
consider adopting a centrist
perspective -- neither left
nor right, or at least centre left
-- and asking yourself this
question: Given
that there are often good arguments on both the left and the right,
what kind of public economic system would be best for society as a
whole?
Contents
Three
impulsive responses
As
the gap between rich and poor
widens, a growing number of
people are
struggling with unemployment, precarity, or insufficient income. That's
not only bad for people -- it's also bad for the
economy, which relies on consumers with money to spend. Perhaps most
importantly in the long term, a large gap between rich and poor is bad
for democracy. It creates a large group of people who are angry and
disgruntled about the bad deal they are getting. Many of those people
end up voting for the far right. But the far right has no solutions
(the problem is certainly not caused by migration, for example), and if
the far right get into power, the
problem gets even worse.
BI+CI is a promising solution. But many have never heard of it. It is
not being seriously
discussed, let alone introduced. Many immediately
reject the idea and keep surfing. Here are some impulsive responses:
- Finance: "A
basic income would be
too expensive! We can't afford it!"
- Incentive: "With
a basic income,
nobody would want to work!"
- Equity:
"A system that treats
everyone equally would
favor the rich!"
In
all
three cases, the opposite is the case.
- Finance. A
BI is not too
expensive. The
state already
finances diverse social benefits. A BI can be
financed by redefining existing benefits, and by drawing
a straight
line through the current complex relationship between net income and
gross income (see Figure 1). Balancing
the books is then a
matter of adjusting the position and
gradient of the
line. Beyond
that, BI
can be financed by increasing government income. That can be done in
at least five ways: (i) increasing the income tax rate
(here: 50%, made
acceptable by the BI that
everyone
would get),
(ii) motivating everyone to work
(here, by applying CI = Constant Incentive), (iii) making it harder for
the
rich to
avoid tax (here: by making income tax flat and immediately payable),
(iv) introducing additional
taxes such as wealth, transaction, or environment taxes (which are in
any case urgently necessary to limit the widening wealth gap), and (v)
reducing the size of unemployment offices, which BI+CI largely render
obsolete. Seen in
this way, it
is the current system that is too expensive. Point (iii) is
especially relevant. Because
it is so
complex, the current system encourages
people to avoid or evade tax. The richer you
are, or the better your accountant is, the more tax you can avoid or
evade. The current system even motivates the unemployed not
to work by taking away their
benefit when they get a job (point ii). This welfare
trap is
the cause of diverse social and
economic problems, and BI+CI removes it.
- Incentive. It is worth repeating
that, for
the first time,
BI+CI would motivate everyone to work. The
line in Figure
1 is straight. No matter what your income is,
with BI+CI you always take home more if you work more. Moreover, you
always take home the same proportion of additional earnings. Motivation
to work is always positive and independent of income. It is the current
system that demotivates people.
The current system primarily
motivates people who
already
have a job to get a better one. If you
don't have a job, and
you are offered a part-time job
that pays hardly more than welfare, the current system motivates you to
stay on welfare. Unemployment offices often struggle with
long-term unemployed who refuse jobs that are offered to them. But
those people may be behaving in a perfectly rational way. In the
present system, the financial reward for taking a new part-time job is
often remarkably small when the loss of benefits is taken into account.
BI+CI solves the problem.
- Equity. BI+CI
treats everyone
equally, rich and poor, employed and unemployed. The system
includes two adjustable parameters, BI and CI, both of which
affect everyone equally. The wealth gap (gap between rich and poor) is
adjusted by adjusting the parameters. A small BI and a large CI lead to
a large wealth gap. A
large BI and a small CI lead to
a small wealth gap. This
simple, transparent feature
gives people more democratic control. Moreover, with
BI+CI it is no
longer possible to discriminate against a given group on the
basis
of their financial resources or lack thereof. Socioeconomic
discrimination or divitism
is prevented. It is
the current
system that is undermining equity.
The current system labels and
stigmatizes people as either working or unemployed, and treats these
two groups differently. People think that it is necessary to make this
distinction, but BI+CI shows it is not. From the perspective of BI+CI,
any deviation from a straight line in Figure 1 is a case of divitism:
discrimination on the basis of wealth or income.
The
three points can be understood by considering a simple example. Imagine
this scenario. You are
unemployed and dependent on a BI of €1000
per month. Hopefully more,
but the round figure is easy to work with.
- Finance. The BI
corresponds to minimum unemployment benefit or emergency assistance in
the present system. Additional
costs to the government
can be covered by raising
income tax, motivating
everyone to work regardless of income (CI), collecting income tax
immediately and without deductions
(flat tax), and/or additional taxes (wealth, transaction, environment).
- Incentive. Analyzing
your private situation, let's suppose that of the €1000
you receive
each month,
€800
is for fixed, unavoidable expenses: cheap
rent, cheap food, cheap transport. You have only
€200
to spend as
you choose. Now suppose you are offered a half-time job that pays €1000
gross. In the
current system, you would lose your benefit, and your net income would
stay
the same. You would effectively be working for nothing. Why take such a
job? With
BI+CI as shown in Figure 1, you would take home €500
extra per
month (50% of €1000).
The amount you
had left after paying unavoidable
bills would rise from €200
to €700.
Of course you
would take the job. In this case, BI+CI motivates you to work, whereas
the present system motivates you to stay on welfare.
- Equity. With
BI+CI, welfare and
tax offices would not treat you any differently from anyone else.
Despite your low income, no welfare office would be telling
you what to
do. No one would treat you like a failure or interfere in your private
affairs. No one would imply
that poverty is the "fault of the poor". Instead, the tax office would
make sure you pay
your taxes like anyone else.
Understanding
Figure 1
Figure 1 is
a
proposal for
the relationship between gross income
and net
income for
individuals. These two terms are
being used in a special way:
- Gross
income (the
horizontal axis of Figure 1) is
income before
welfare and/or income tax (or before BI+CI).
- Net
income (the
vertical axis)
is income after
welfare and/or income tax (or after BI+CI).
Therefore,
- Net
income = Welfare
(BI) + Gross
income - Income tax
or
more simply:
- Net
income = Welfare
(BI) + Constant Incentive
(CI)
In
modern democracies, in which most
people identify with the middle class, income tax is the government's
main
source of income. The
rate of income tax collected
within BI+CI is (1-CI). For the purpose of argument, I will assume that
CI = 50%. The income tax rate, therefore, is 1-50% = 50%. The rate
needs to be relatively high to finance free health
services, minimum pensions, and other social
services of all kinds, as well as the BI and the cost of running of
government.
The
diagonal line on Figure 1 basically says two things:
- No
matter how much you earn (gross income), the government gives you the
same BI at a rate near the
poverty
line. The BI is universal
(everyone receives it)
and unconditional
(the
amount is independent of any other income).
- No
matter how much you earn (gross
income), you take home the same proportion of your additional earnings
(CI).
Figure
1
illustrates three additional features of BI+CI:
- There
is only one line. Welfare and
income tax are combined into a
single, simple system.
- The line is
straight. The more you work,
the more money you take home. The proportion of your income
that you
take home is always the same. The intrinsic divitism
of the current system is eliminated.
- The
line does not go through the origin.
It crosses the vertical
axis at a point near the poverty line.
That eliminates
poverty and makes income tax implicitly
progressive. Poverty
is eliminated, even if BI is slightly below the poverty line,
because people are free to earn extra income
without
returning the BI, in whole or in part.
BI+CI
is an inseparable combination
of BI and CI.
BI
cannot be
changed without changing CI and vice-versa. It
can therefore
be
misleading to consider BI alone (as right-wing critics do, when they
complain about giving people something for nothing), or CI alone (as
left-wing critics do,
when they complain about "flat tax"). The
line on Figure 1 shows the combined effect of BI and CI.
That is
all that
matters. As
Frank Sinatra crooned: "Love and marriage go together like a horse and
carriage".
- BI needs CI. The
BI has to be financed. CI would be the main source of that
finance.
- CI needs BI. The
flat tax implied by CI is only progressive if it is inseparably
combined with BI.
Initial
estimates of BI and
CI
For the purpose of this text, I
have
chosen round figures to
simplify the calculations:
BI = €1000/month
and CI = 50%. (BI is the unconditional basic income, and CI is the
proportion of additional earnings that people keep -- their Constant
Incentive.) If BI+CI were
implemented, these values would need to be
adjusted.
- The
political left would want to raise BI, but that may mean reducing CI,
which the right would not like. Conversely, the right would want to
raise CI, but that generally means reducing BI, and the left would
object.
- A
BI of €1000/month
would
be comparable with current "emergency unemployment assistance" (Notstandshilfe)
in
Austria. The
right
would ask whether €1000/month
is too much for a handout that everyone gets, no questions asked? An
appropriate answer is that BI+CI would motivate
people to
work
more than the current system does, knowing that no
matter what kind of work they chose or how much they earned, working
more would
always increase their net income, because they would
never lose the BI.
In that way, the effective unemployment rate
would fall. With more people working, government income from income tax
would rise, helping to fund the BI.
- The
proposed rate of 50% for CI corresponds to an income tax
rate of 50%. That seems like a psychological
limit that should never be exceeded. For the political right, it would
be too much; for the left, too little, if more income was
needed to finance a higher BI. But
recall that in exchange
for 50% income tax everyone would be getting the BI. That's a great
deal -- nothing like it ever
happened
before. No one would ever fall into poverty, no
matter what bad decisions they made or what kind of
bad luck they had. At the same time, people could still become as rich
as they wanted. No matter how much they earned -- the more they earned,
the
more money they could take home.
- The
left would point out that €1000/month is
not
enough to live on in
a rich country. Given
the
rising cost of living, a BI of €1200
or even €1500 per
month, would
be preferable -- comparable
with
typical unemployment benefits in Austria or the
EU's risk
of poverty threshold. But
adjusting one of the two values
(BI and CI) would mean adjusting the
other. If
BI was raised from
€1000
to €1200,
and CI was held at 50%, the net income of a person earning €4000
gross would go up from €3000
to €3200.
The tax effectively paid by that person would fall from €1000
to €800.
Across the board, such changes would mean serious loss of
taxation
income. To
solve this problem, either CI would have to fall
below 50% (which the right would hardly accept) or other taxes would
be needed.
- Besides
income tax, other possible taxes
include wealth,
inheritance, transaction, and
environment (carbon). Such taxes are in any case urgently needed to
preserve democracy by reducing the wealth gap, but political
introduction is difficult (more).
Most parties are reluctant to push for
wealth taxes, the main exceptions being left-leaning politicians within
centre-left parties (e.g., Bernie Sanders). It seems unrealistic to
count on new wealth taxes being introduced any
time soon (although a discussion about BI+CI might provide the
necessary
impetus).
- Instead
of increasing BI, one might invest in universal
basic services --- free or
subsidized public services such as
water, education, internet, public transport, health care, housing with
electricity and heating/cooling, basic food, legal aid, and banking.
The more such services are available, the lower the BI can be. Of
course, that would also require more taxation income.
Given these complexities, I
will stick for the moment with round
figures, BI
= €1000/month
and CI = 50%, to show how BI+CI
would work. The
point is to get
the general idea accepted first
(in particular, the idea of unconditional
BI) and adjust the numbers later.
Special
cases
This text
focuses on the average person, but there are important exceptions,
which apply throughout this text:
- Parents
would
receive BI for their children -- at a lower,
age-dependent rate -- in addition to their own BI.
- People
with relevant disabilities
(those that prevent them from working or earning money at the same
level as others) would receive a higher rate of
BI.
- Foreigners
would
receive a lower rate of BI, depending on their immigration status.
- Pensioners
would receive BI corresponding to the minimum
pension plus additional benefits from private pension funds.
Individual
adjustments of BI should be kept to a
minimum, to ensure that the system is perceived as fair, and to
minimize administrative costs. The four listed categories are clearly
defined, and clear tests can be devised to consistently decide the BI
in each case. Special
BI rates should be determined by a
politically neutral and independent process that prevents political
parties from favoring their clients.
Let's assume for the sake of argument that children
receive half of
the standard BI. If BI was €1000,
a
single parent with one child under 18 years would receive €1500
plus the freedom to earn any amount of additional money without losing
the BI. A single parent with two children would receive €2000.
One
case in which this could really help people is domestic
violence. BI+CI would enable a mother with one or more children to
leave
a violent partner behind
and live independently.
The
BI would correspond to the minimum pension. Like other government
expenses, the minimum pension would mainly be financed by income tax.
Workers
would be free to
make regular contributions to additional pension or superannuation
funds, as they do today.
Implicit
progressivity
Today's
tax systems are explicitly
progressive: the more you earn, the more
income tax you pay as a percentage of
all earned income. For example, you may pay no tax in the lowest income
bracket, 20% in the next, 35% in a medium bracket, and 50% in
a
high bracket.
BI+CI is implicitly
progressive. The explicit tax rate is always the same (1-CI), but
because that is inseparably combined with BI, the implicit tax rate
rises
steadily with increasing income. The more
you earn, the
greater proportion of your gross income is
effectively paid in tax.
The
implicit progressivity of BI+CI is illustrated in Figure 2.
Assuming that BI = €1000
and CI = 50%, the
effective tax rate is zero for gross incomes below €2000.
Above
that, as gross income
increases, the effective tax rate increases as shown. The effective tax
rate
approaches but never reaches the flat rate of income tax (here, 50%).

Figure
2. Implicit
progressivity of BI+CI with BI
= €1000/month
and CI =
50%.
Figure 2 can be understood by referring back to Figure 1. Here is now
the
effective tax rate increases:
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €3000,
you take home €2500. That's €1000
in BI
plus €1500
in earnings
after tax (half of €3000).
Effectively,
you pay €500
in tax (€3000
- €2500),
which is 17%
of €3000.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €4000,
you
keep
€3000 and effectively pay 25%
tax.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is
€10,000, you keep €6,000.
The tax
rate is
effectively 40%.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €100,000,
you keep €51,000.
The effective tax rate has
risen to 49%.
BI+CI
solves the problem of bracket
creep, a form of fiscal drag
or
kalte Progression.
In the present system, when inflation pushes wages and salaries into
higher tax brackets, the
effective tax rate increases although real earnings remain
constant. The
problem is addressed by adjusting the boundaries between
tax brackets for inflation. In BI+CI, there are no tax brackets, and
the
problem of bracket creep does not arise.
The
above cases are for higher
income earners. BI+CI is also implicitly progressive with respect
to lower income earners. For them, the benefit that they are effectively
receiving falls as
their income rises, and it does so gradually and continuously:
- If
your monthly income before tax/welfare is zero,
you receive €1000
per month.
- If
your monthly
gross income before
tax/welfare
is €1000, your net income after tax/welfare is €1500.
That's €1000
BI plus €500
CI. Your
effective
benefit has fallen
to €500.
- If
your monthly
gross income is €2000, your net
income is the
same: €1000
BI plus €1000
CI. Your
benefit
effectively is effectively zero, as is the effective tax
rate. That
is called the break-even point,
and
it corresponds
roughly to the minimum
full-time
wage. If
you are earning less, you are effectively receiving benefits. If you
are earning more, you are effectively paying tax. But nothing special
happens when you pass this point -- the transition is
smooth.
Regarding
the second case above, with gross income =
€1000 and net income =
€1500,
it is
worth repeating
that BI+CI is always
effectively progressive -- unlike the present system. The most dramatic
departure
from progressivity in the present system happens when the unemployed
get a part-time job or "side hustle" and their extra income exceeds the
threshold for being defined as unemployed. In Austria it's called the
marginal earnings threshold or Geringfügigkeitsgrenze.
When you
hit this limit, the system suddenly becomes regressive. As your income
increases, your benefit is cut, either suddenly or gradually. The more
you earn, the more your benefit is cut. If tax is defined as
loss
of a marginal increase in income, you are effectively paying a high tax
rate. For many, it is not worth taking a part-time job. It's called the
welfare trap. With BI+CI, this problem disappears.
Flat
tax? Really?
Despite this demonstration of implicit progressivity, commentators on
the left may still
complain that BI+CI includes a flat
tax. The term has a bad
reputation.
Some conservative and far-right voters advocate flat income
tax, arguing that it's unfair to ask the rich to pay higher rates of
income tax, as in progressive tax systems. Of course, those folks are
not also advocating an unconditional BI. A flat tax of the kind that
they want makes the rich even richer and
the poor even poorer.
Current
income tax
regimes attempt to solve this problem by writing
progressivity into taxation law. In
other words, progressivity is
explicit. Richer
people pay
a higher proportion of
their income back in tax. That is supposed to stop the wealth gap
between rich and poor from getting bigger. Unfortunately, it is not
working. The wealth gap has been rising for decades.
In BI+CI, the expression "flat tax" has a different meaning. It
is part of a
system that is always implicitly
progressive. The degree of
progressivity
depends on how the two
parameters, BI and CI, are set. The bigger the BI (or the smaller the
CI), the more
implicitly progressive the taxation becomes (and
the more left-wing). The smaller the BI (or the bigger the CI), the
less progressive (and
the more right-wing). The progressivity of the system can be
adjusted to
stop the wealth gap from widening.
Financing
BI
Many oppose BI because they think
it would be too expensive.
In
fact, BI+CI
would require no additional funding, if the line on Figure 1 was
a
line of best fit through the existing complex relationship between net
and gross income. It's a matter of
adjusting BI and CI to balance the books.
By simplying income tax, BI+CI would make income tax harder to avoid.
Since all
income would be taxed at the same rate, the tax could often be
collected immediately, without waiting until the end of the year. That
would increase tax income for the government, helping the BI to be
financed.
Some have discussed financing BI with consumption taxes (e.g.,
VAT, Mehrwertssteuer).
That is
problematic if consumption taxes hurt the
poor more than
the rich. But in countries where consumption taxes are already quite
high, it may be pragmatic for consumption taxes to contribute to
financing BI within BI+CI. They at least represent a stable and
reliable
source of income.
Guy
Standing has proposed a basic
income scheme underwritten by
taxation on the rich. I am all in favor of wealth taxes. As the wealth
gap between rich and poor widens and the number of billionaires
increases, wealth taxes become all the more urgent. But I don't think
BI should depend too much on wealth taxes, because they are politically
unreliable. Whenever the government moves to the right, they risk being
cut. For BI to work, it needs a strong foundation. Income tax is
traditionally the biggest
and most reliable source of state income.
BI supporters have also considered financing the BI with inheritance
taxes, transaction
taxes, and carbon taxes. We need more of all of those, to
reduce the wealth gap, and all can contribute to BI. Modern Monetary
Theory may also be relevant so this discussion.
But once we realize that BI+CI can finance itself, such discussions
become unnecessary distractions. The point is to implement BI in the
existing system.
The objection that "BI+CI would be too expensive" is problematic in
another way. Humanity has never been richer. There are about 3000
billionaires in the world, with a total wealth of $15 tn. If they paid
normal and fair amounts of tax, there would be plenty of money for any
beneficial project. The problem is not the expense -- it's the failure
of governments to tax the rich fairly (or at all, in many cases).
Transparency
and democracy
The
present tax/welfare system is conservative, treating the
unemployed like second- and third-class citizens merely because
they lost their job, while at the same time making it easy for the rich
to avoid tax. By labeling and stigmatizing the unemployed, the system
invites the employed to blame the "lazy" unemployed for the country's
woes, whatever they may be. That causes all kinds of anger and
frustration, leading to violence and far-right
politics.
The current system is also complex. So much so, that no-one understands
all the details and possibilities. People often think
there must be a good reason for that, but there
is not. The
current system
is complex for two bad reasons:
- Generations
of
politicians
have added details in an attempt to impress specific groups of voters.
- Generations
of rich people have employed smart, expensive accountants to find
loopholes in taxation law that enable them to evade tax.
With BI+CI,
neither of those two strategies would be possible. The system could
only be changed or adjusted along one axis, from left wing to right
wing. Left-wingers would push for more BI and less CI, and
right-wingers would push for the opposite. In that way, BI+CI
would
be more democratic: more transparent
and therefore easier for voters to understand. Democracy only works if
people understand what they are voting for! In that way, BI+CI would
benefit the left.
Think about the complexity of tax and welfare systems
and how that relates to transparency, fairness, and democracy.
Both
tax and welfare are
currently so complicated that large numbers of bureaucrats and
accountants are needed to understand and administer them. Like
specialist surgeons that understand only one part of the body, experts
in tax or welfare are typically responsible for only one part of the
system and have trouble seeing the big picture.
That gives the rich an
advantage. They pay accountants to exploit the system's
complexity, finding loopholes that will enable them to evade or avoid
tax. The implications are enormous. The accountants of the rich are
constantly reducing their tax bills and depriving governments of
revenue. They do this in both legal and illegal ways. The rich can
easily succeed in this game. For
the middle classes, it's not so easy. Their accountants are more honest
or less clever. The poor have no chance at
all. They can't afford accountants.
The
rich
benefit from
systemic complexity.
The solution is not to give everyone a free accountant. The solution is
to simplify the system. That should be a central left-wing
agenda.
Astonishingly, it is not.
Are we
so used
to the complexity and opacity of
both welfare and tax that we forget what a simple system would
be
like?
Relative to the current system, a simpler system would be
more democratic, and in that sense more left-wing. But if BI+CI
was introduced, people of all political
colors would soon
get used to it and eventually regard it as normal, wondering how we
survived so long with the previous, crazy system. Many
conservatives would like BI+CI because it reduces bureaucracy and
government interference -- consistent with conservative calls for small
government.
Sometimes
the left is its own
worst enemy. Left-wingers of different
kinds struggle with each other, allowing the right to swoop in and win
the next election. We cannot let that happen in the case of BI. The
task of eliminating poverty and creating a caring society is too
important. To overcome the right's stubborn resistance, which will
always be there, we need to unify the left; and the left needs
to
understand BI+CI.
Paradoxically, BI-CI is often misunderstood despite its simplicity.
That
is because it turns the current system on its head. Instead of giving
people benefits because they are desperate, it gives everyone the same
benefit. Instead of taxing people because they have a good income, it
taxes everyone. In that way, everyone is respected.
Paradoxically, in the end people on lower incomes are better off.
Unfortunately,
many people refuse to believe that a system of welfare and taxation
could be either simple or fair, let alone both at the same time. It's
understandable. We
are so used to the
current complicated system that we have lost the ability to
appreciate the benefits of simplicity and clarity. We have forgotten
what it is like to actually understand how the system works.
For a change, BI+CI is not a trick. It is too simple for that. Its
power
lies in its simplicity. Nor is BI+CI politically left or
right. It
is politically neutral. It
is a new foundation for productive, fair collaboration between
left and right. Whereas the most immediate benefits would be felt on
the left as poverty was effectively eliminated, the right would also
benefit from improved long-term financial stability.
Democratic
adjustment
of BI and CI
The
rates of BI and CI in Figure 1 are only for
illustration. The
exact values would be determined in
a democratic political process. Socialists would prefer a
higher BI and a higher income tax rate to finance it.
Capitalists would
prefer a lower BI and a lower income tax rate. The two groups would
meet
somewhere in the
middle. The
result would be fairer and
more transparent than the current system.
Today,
people
without the
privilege of a good education are often tricked into voting
conservative by privately owned media. Worse, they are tricked into
voting far right by misleading or dishonest claims by populists. BI+CI
would make
it
harder for politicians to trick the electorate, because it would
be easier to
predict the consequences
of changes in tax and welfare. People would understand better what they
were
voting for.
They would be in a better
decision to make informed decisions
and act in their self-interest. For that reason, the
balance of power would shift toward the left,
improving
the balance between left- and
right-wing politics. That
could allow
the BI to be increased gradually
after being introduced, eliminating poverty.
The
government would roughly balance
the books, paying out the same amount in BI as it receives in income
tax plus other sources of income. (In
reality, things are not that simple. But for the
purpose of argument it's a reasonable assumption. Economic stability is
an important factor.) That
being the case, how much BI
is the right amount?
The
political left would argue
for a relatively high BI that lifts everyone out of
poverty: higher
than usual
measures
of the
poverty line, or the minimum benefit currently
received by the long-term unemployed. The political right would argue
for a lower BI that forces people to work at least a few hours per week
to make ends meet. Perhaps the truth lies between these two
approaches?
A relatively high BI might be justified if it was much less than gross
national
product divided
by the (adult) population. But a
high BI could have enormous political and
macroeconomic
consequences. The history of economic revolutions and radical reforms
teaches us that it is better to change the political and economic
landscape gradually, to encourage stability and avoid any
future backlash.
Besides, in a democracy, BI can only be
introduced if a majority of
people agree with it. If the amount being proposed seems to high, BI
won't happen. Unfortunately, many fear that BI will make
people
lazy -- especially if it is relatively high. Those people are
unlikely to change their minds until they see with their own
eyes that BI+CI motivates everyone to work regardless of income.
BI should meet a person's "basic needs", but
estimates of those costs vary. A BI that is slightly below the poverty
line (however defined), or the minimum total benefit usually received
by the long-term
unemployed, would be acceptable if, for the first time,
unemployed or unwaged people were free
to supplement their benefit
for a few hours or a couple of days per week without losing any of it:
- Extra
income would be taxed, but that tax burden would be smaller than
the burden of losing some or all of unemployment benefit in the current
system.
- The
freedom to earn money without losing BI has monetary
value. Let's say its value lies
between 10% and 30% of BI. Perhaps 20% is a reasonable figure?
That being the case, if the poverty line is €1300,
the BI should
be €1100.
From this viewpoint, the
current system is giving low income
earners (e.g.,
casual and part-time workers) a
bad deal.
It's no wonder those who are earning little more than
the unemployment
benefit (which they have therefore lost) are struggling. BI+CI would
improve their situation even if BI remained below the poverty line.
Now
imagine a
situation where BI+CI is being planned and initial levels of BI and CI
are being discussed. People are arguing that the present system should
be maintained as far as possible because of its long history.
Besides, they argue, it is not reasonable, and politically dangerous,
to take money away from some and give it to others. Therefore the
straight line
in Figure 1 should be bent here and there to make BI+CI more like the
present system.
Such arguments are misleading. Unlike the current system, BI+CI is
intrinsically fair, because it treats everyone equally. It gives
everyone the same BI (apart from the listed exceptions) and the same
proportion of earned income (CI). Combining these two features
(one of which is considered fair by the left, the other by the right)
creates a system in which people with lower incomes are better off (to
the surprise of those who previously thought "flat tax" was always a
bad thing). The intrinsic fairness of BI+CI makes it clear that people
with lower incomes should
be
better off than they are now. In this way, BI+CI allows us to discover
unfairness in the present system, and correct it.
Here are some other ways in which people might want to bend the
straight line in Figure 1:
- The
left might argue that the marginal tax rate should increase as income
increases. But BI+CI is
already
inherently progressive, and that progressivity can be increased or
decreased simply by adjusting BI and CI. Instead of bending the line,
left-wing goals can be achieved by raising BI and lowering
CI for
everyone.
- Similarly,
the right might argue that the marginal tax rate should decrease as
income increases. After all, they might argue, if the rich have to pay
50% in income tax, won't that reduce competitivity or cause capital
flight? But within BI+CI the goals of the right can be achieved by
reducing BI and increasing CI. Again, there is
no need to bend the line.
Life
would be simpler, and the system would maintain its transparency, if
the line in Figure 1 was
kept straight by law. That would prevent such misleading discussions
from
even starting.
The
end of tax deductions
In
the current
system, income earners typically pay tax on their income throughout the
year. At
the end of the year, they submit a claim for a tax return. The final
amount of tax paid depends on this yearly statement. The claim includes
expenses incurred when earning income, which are
often deducted from income.
People love tax deductions because
they reduce their tax bill. The
trouble is, tax deductions also reduce the tax bill of the rich, and
the rich typically save more money this way. The
richer you are, the more you can pay accountants to dream up brilliant
tax deduction schemes. The richer you are, the more you can invest in
your business -- your
means of production. In
the end, the current system of tax
deductions means that people with low or medium incomes pay
more
tax relative to the rich.
If
I want to teach the
piano, it is my problem to buy the piano for the lessons. It is my
business to estimate the risk, not the government's. Banks are
available to lend me the money and it is their problem to decide
whether I am likely to pay the money back or not. If the government
wants to promote
piano teaching for political reasons, they can give me a subsidy.
Under
BI+CI, one might
realistically imagine a world with no tax
deductions, no tax statements, and no tax returns for most
people. This radical simplification, which would benefit the
poor
more than the rich, is possible because both BI
and CI
involve flat rates. It would no longer be necessary to wait until the
end of the year to calculate your tax. More often than that (probably
every month) there would be an electronic financial transaction between
each individual and the government. Those on low incomes would receive
money and those on high incomes would pay. The amount would be
calculated according to Figure 1. Each transaction
would be
closed and complete.
BI+CI
would be introduced in
stages, in a transition period (see below). During that same time,
tax deductions
could be gradually phased out -- just as governments
currently change which expenses count as deductions
and which do not (more).
The
end of cash
BI+CI assumes that all income is taxed. For BI+CI to work fairly, all
income must be declared. A possible way to achieve that is to make it
illegal to pay by cash in exchange for work. To receive any income,
whether BI or wages, it would be necessary to open a bank account and
receive the money by appropriately labeled bank transfer. Going even
further, BI+CI might work best in a cashless society in which all
financial exchanges are electronically recorded.
That raises well-known issues of privacy and centralized control. But a
cashless economy also has advantages: reduced business costs, less tax
evasion, less money laundering (more).
Getting
rid of
cash might even reduce
transmission of disease (on dirty banknotes). The
world seems in any case to be moving in the direction of a cashless
economy, so let's see how that develops.
Why
BI+CI is good
In
the interests of long-term stability, BI+CI
would fulfill the following four criteria proposed by Georg
Quaas in 2017:
- Existing
work incentives would be maintained
and improved.
- Social
security would not be completely
restructured (risky
experiments would be avoided).
- For
the same reason, the reform would, in the
end, simplify the
system.
- The
additional tax burden for higher income
earners would be
perceived as acceptable.
The
transition to BI+CI
Public economic systems are complex and their many elements can
interact in unpredictable ways. The path toward BI+CI should
therefore be taken in relatively small steps, each time waiting for a
new equilibrium to be established. Changes that are unnecessarily large
or fast should be avoided.
The first step might be to draw a line of best fit through the current
relationship between gross and net income such that the net income of
low income earners slightly increased and that of high income
earners slightly fell. In this first stage, the BI would be
relatively small. It would be subtracted from existing benefits so that
for most receivers the total benefit would remained unchanged.
The BI would then be increased in a series of steps, each time reducing
or
eliminating corresponding benefits and adjusting
CI to balance the
national budget. The goal would be to
eliminate poverty by gradually increasing BI to the poverty line,
however defined. That way, the incentive to work would be maintained.
At every step toward BI+CI, the relationship between the supply and
demand of labor
would change. Inflation might increase for two reasons:
- People
on low incomes would be under
less pressure to accept uninteresting job offers (especially in the
case of part-time work). Employers would need to offer higher wages
for those jobs. That
would increase production
costs, which in turn
would increase prices. At the same time, unemployment would increase.
- The
average person would have more
money to spend. There
would be no more "working
poor"; those
who had previously fallen into that category would be able to afford to
pay more for basic goods and services.
BI+CI
would reduce the wealth gap: whereas poorer people
would have more money to spend, richer people would have less. If that
relationship was carefully managed, the effect on inflation would be
small or negligible.
Inflation could be reduced by increasing interest rates to limit the
rate of private borrowing.
Gradually, new stable relationships between inflation and
employment would
emerge. Unemployment would no longer be the problem that it
is today, because it would no longer be linked to poverty. It would
become more difficult to measure unemployment because more people would
work part-time and there would be more flexibility in the duration of
part-time work.
A
vision for a better world
As
the world lurches from one
crisis to the next, and the number
of billionaires steadily increases, undermining democracy, many are
talking about reforming capitalism to make it
sustainable. But people have different ideas about how to do that.
On the one hand, we need globally
harmonized wealth taxes. That
could stop the rich moving their
wealth internationally to avoid tax. That should be clear. But we also
need to reform public economics, to improve quality of life
for all people, regardless of wealth. That means reforming the way
income is taxed, and reforming the way welfare payments are
distributed.
In
"Marx in Soho: A Play on
History", Howard Zinn proposed:
"Give people what they need: food, medicine, clean air, pure water,
trees and grass, pleasant homes to live in, some hours of work, more
hours of leisure. Don't ask who deserves it. Every human being deserves
it." BI+CI is a way of making that happen in a practical and
sustainable
way.
Imagine achieving all of the following social goals,
simultaneously:
- Poverty:
End
it at last, and for everyone: children, disabled, single parents,
unemployed.
- The wealth
gap
(difference between rich and poor):
Reduce it. Improve democracy.
- The gender
gap
(difference between male and female incomes):
Reduce it. Weaken patriarchy.
- The incentive
to work:
Increase it across the board. Make work more enjoyable.
- The freedom
to work
as little or as much as you want:
Improve it. Achieve true "freedom".
- Working
conditions:
Improve them. Give workers more bargaining power.
- Government
subsidies: Reduce
or eliminate them. For example, farmers may no longer need them.
- Technological
unemployment due
to robots
and artificial intelligence:
Alleviate it. Enjoy new tech
without fear.
- Meaningless
bureaucracy and invasion of privacy by tax/welfare offices: Reduce
it. Leave people alone.
- Irrational
behaviors
(crime or creating unpayable debts): Reduce them. Promote personal
responsibility.
- Cheating the
system,
including tax evasion and welfare fraud: Reduce
it. Make people more honest.
- Extremist
politics and
political violence, especially the far right: Reduce
it. Less desperation, more common sense.
- Democracy
(people
power!): Improve it. Bring it
back.
- Big global
problems
such as climate change: Solve
them faster.
A similar list was presented
by Guy Standing in his book "Battling
Eight Giants: Basic Income Now" (London: Bloomsbury, 2020). He argued
that basic income (more than other possible social policies) would
address inequality, insecurity, debt, stress, precarity, automation,
populism, and extinction.
The government of any country in the world
could achieve all these points by replacing their current complex
welfare and explicitly progressive income tax systems by BI+CI. That
may
seem like a wild, exaggerated claim; but I am not aware of any good
counterargument.
Besides, BI+CI has never happened before.
The best way to test BI+CI is to introduce
it and monitor progress.
Going
back in time, it was hard to imagine
the French revolution before it happened, or the vote for women, or the
universal declaration of human rights. But today, after these important
historical developments, we take them for granted and consider them
essential. We have no intention of going back to a world without
freedom, equality, and solidarity, or without equal rights for women,
or without human rights.
Now, imagine a world in which we take
it for granted that
poverty has been eliminated and will never come back. The real
possibility of introducing a universal BI means that a
world of that kind is now possible. So there is no longer any
particular reason why we should not
decide to achieve it. It could merely be a matter of attitude! Imagine
that.
If
the tax-welfare system were
radically simplified and BI+CI were introduced, we could achieve:
- The
end of poverty:
BI
would be a little below the poverty line, and people could
easily
supplement it with additional work. That would effectively end poverty.
- A smaller
wealth
gap: The income of lower
earners would increase. At the same
time, tax evasion and avoidance would be prevented, increasing tax paid
by higher earners.
- A smaller
gender
gap: Women more
often work part-time. With BI+CI, that work would become more
worthwhile. Women are also
more likely to receive and manage benefits for children. Those benefits
would increase. Beyond that, it would become easier to organise
feminist families in which old gender roles (childcare, money earning,
and so on) were more equally shared. Beyond infancy, parenting could
become equal and both both parents could work part
time.
- Universal
work
incentive: Welfare traps
would disappear. People would no
longer lose benefits as their income increased. The motivation
to
work would be constant and independent of income.
- Better
working
conditions: A BI would give
workers more bargaining power. They would be freer to
leave any
job. From that more solid foundation, they could put employers under
more
pressure to offer good wages and working conditions.
- More personal
freedom:
People would be free to work as much or
as little as they wanted.
Fear and stigmatisation of
unemployment would disappear.
- More rational
behavior. BI
experiments show that people on BI are more likely to educate
themselves and take entrepreneurial risks. They save more money, spend
less on healthcare, and commit fewer crimes (including domestic
violence).
- Less
meaningless
bureaucracy. Tax and welfare
offices would no longer invade
people's privacy. The system would be more efficient and
less wasteful.
- Less cheating:
It would be harder to cheat either the welfare or the tax system. There
would be fewer legal loopholes for the accountants of the rich to
explore.
- A weaker
far
right: There would be fewer
deeply
dissatisfied citizens, for populist
politicians to prey on. Corporate-controlled media would have fewer
gullible
victims. There would be
less injustice, hence less anger, and less violence. Life for
politicians, journalists, and activists would become safer.
- More democracy:
The system would be simpler and more transparent. Voters would have a
better understanding of what they are voting for at elections. The
political
power of democratically elected governments would increase relative to
that of corporations.
- Fewer global
problems. The revival of
democracy would make it easier to
solve big problems like climate change.
Can a single idea be
that good? Some suspect not, but that is
not
a good argument. A good argument is one that engages with the specific
issues, such as those just listed.
Beyond
the listed points, BI+CI
would
bring the usual, well-known benefits of
BI.
- BI
would enable people to train
themselves, which would improve the skills and motivation of
the
workforce.
- BI
would empower people to refuse inappropriate
or dangerous
work,
improving quality of life and reducing the cost of medical
care.
- BI
would enable people to travel to a new
location to apply for a
different
kind of job that better suits their preferences and skills.
- BI
would help
discriminated minorities establish themselves politically and
culturally.
- BI
would pay voluntary domestic carers of
children, the aged, and
the
disabled for their valuable work.
- BI
would reduce the incidence of domestic
violence by reducing the financial stress that contributes to conflict.
It would also empower victims of domestic violence to escape from
difficult
situations.
- BI
would help people in all walks of life to
think clearly about
their situation and solve their problems in a rational manner.
Myths
about BI
These points allow us to revisit a series of common myths about BI.
- Myth
no. 1. BI makes people
lazy. The
truth: The current system
makes people lazy.
In
the current system, if
you are unemployed, you get unemployment benefit. Usually, it is not
enough to live on. That is because the rich are trying to keep the
benefit low. Their logic: If the benefit was too high, you would not be
motivated to
accept poorly paid jobs, and the rich could not get people to work for
them (at least, not for the low wages they would like to pay).
Even if the
rich were feeling generous, poverty would not necessarily be eliminated
by raising the benefit, because that would reduce the motivation to
work and hence the amount of work that gets done, with negative
economic consequences. If you are on unemployment benefit and get a
chance to earn a small amount of money, the money is
deducted from your benefit. So there is no point doing that work!
That's why the unemployed often refuse job offers. It's called the welfare trap.
BI+CI solves
this problem by turning the system on its head, as shown in the figure
above. Under BI+CI, no matter how much
money you have to spend every month, the amount goes up
if you do extra paid work. In this way, BI+CI motivates
people to work
more, regardless of their current income.
- Myth
no. 2. We can't afford BI.
The truth: We
can't afford the
current system.
BI+CI
would radically
reduce the waste that is inherent in the present system.
An
example of waste is the money paid to employment
officers to monitor recipients of unemployment benefits. (Are the
welfare recipients
really looking for work? Are they attending job interviews?) BI+CI
shows
that
this monitoring work is unnecessary.
There
is
also a tax problem. The rich
often pay little or no tax. They
achieve that by playing with loopholes and international differences in
taxation law. Governments typically lose much more in tax evasion
(including
international tax havens) than in welfare
fraud (more).
The solution is to require everyone to pay fair amounts of
tax. A simple, transparent approach like BI+CI makes that easier to
achieve.
BI+CI
could unleash an unprecedented surge
of individual creativity. For the first time,
people would be free to
choose what kind of work they do. As long as that is not happening, an
enormous amount of human potential is going to waste.
Besides,
there is
plenty of money.
Humanity
has never been so rich, and the
rich are hoarding
unimaginably enormous amounts. There
are 2000
billionaires and 50
million millionaires in today's world, and both groups are
growing
steadily. Governments just need to tax them in a normal way
and
distribute the wealth a little more fairly.
- Myth
no. 3. You
have to work for every bit of money that you get. The
truth: That
cannot possibly work.
No
society works that way.
Many
people work for no money, and their work is absolutely
essential. Without them, the system would collapse. Some are looking
after other people: children, the elderly, the
disabled. These "carers" are more often women than men, which explains
why women have less money than men on average, and more often live in
poverty. Others are educating themselves (e.g., school children).
Unemployment
is inherent in today's economic systems. Economists agree that it will
never go away. There is an obvious reason. the better technology gets,
the less work
there is to do. You cannot expect people to work for every bit of money
they get when there is not enough work to do.
The
rich can be
as lazy as they like as long as someone is looking after their money.
Most of the rich got most of their money without working. They
either inherited it or manipulated the system to ensure the big money
flowed their way. Usually both. If we had to work for every bit of
money we got, inheritance would be illegal! At the very least there
would be high inheritance taxes, say 50%. Beyond, that, billionaires
never "earn" more than a tiny fraction of
their money. To earn a billion dollars at 10 dollars per hour (24 hours
a day, 7 days a week) would take 100 million hours, that's over 10,000
years.
Clearly,
not everyone
has to
work. So why do we stubbornly believe that everyone has to work? Ideas
that we take for granted are often
socially constructed by powerful people to serve their interests. This
particular
idea is promoted by the rich to ensure that the
poor will keep working for them. The idea is also promoted by the
middle classes, whose position in the pecking order depends on their
support for the rich.
What is
true is first that everyone
needs enough money to live on, to ensure
quality of life and second that everyone
needs to be motivated to work, to ensure that
the important work is done.
- Myth no. 4:
It's a bad idea to give BI to the rich. The truth: It's
a
bad idea not
to give BI to the rich.
BI+CI would reduce the net
income of the rich. They would lose
more in additional income tax than they would gain in BI.
Besides,
if
the BI was
means tested, someone would have to apply that test and check
people were providing the correct information. Many would try to trick
the system. How many bureaucrats would be
needed to administer that?
- Myth no. 5:
BI+CI is bad because it is inflexible. The truth: BI+CI's
inflexibility guarantees that everyone will be
treated equally.
Policians
like to claim that they are using public money
efficiently by
making sure those who need it get it, and those who do not do not. From
that perspective, BI+CI is a bad idea. It is too inflexible! In other
words, politicians can no longer manipulate welfare and taxation to
attract voters in specific
categories and win elections.
In fact, when it comes to ensuring people’s livelihoods,
inflexibility is a virtue. The risk of arbitrary exceptions,
discrimination, favoritism and so on is avoided. What is
flexible is the numerical value
of BI and CI, both of which can be adjusted in
democratic
political processes. After that, both values apply to all people
equally.
The universal declaration of human rights is similarly inflexible.
Everyone has the same rights and obligations, period.
Left-wing
economic theory
A 2019
article in The Guardian
entitled "The new left
economics",
Andy Beckett observed that
For
almost half a
century, something vital has been missing from leftwing politics in
western countries. Since the 70s, the left has changed how many people
think about prejudice, personal identity and freedom. It has exposed
capitalism’s cruelties. It has sometimes won elections, and
sometimes governed effectively afterwards. But it has not been able to
change fundamentally how wealth and work function in society
– or
even provide a compelling vision of how that might be done. The left,
in short, has not had an economic policy.
BI+CI is a response to that challenge. The world needs new
left-wing economic theory and policy that can eliminate poverty and
reduce the wealth gap in the 21st century.
Left-wing economic theory is a diverse thing, and it even includes
objections to BI. Many on the left have been suspicious about
BI ever since Milton Friedman, a conservative US economist, proposed
negative income tax, which is almost the same thing. Milton Friedman
also inspired the unmitigated disaster of neoliberalism. It was part of
his theory of freedom.
But something is not bad just because a bad person proposed it.
Vegetarianism is not bad because Hitler was a vegetarian. The concept
of BI+CI that I am proposing is a general foundation that both the
right
and the left can use for their own purposes. The right can reduce BI
way below the poverty line while at the same time increasing CI. Of
course, I totally oppose that idea, but it is theoretically possible.
The left can elevate BI well above the poverty
line, while reducing CI (increasing income tax) to finance it. I also
oppose that, because it
would stifle incentive to work. The point is to democratically find a
middle
path that allows everyone to enjoy the benefits of both appropriately
tamed capitalism (the source of wealth and abundance) and appropriately
democratic socialism (the source of community and solidarity). The aim
of this document is to describe how that middle path can be achieved in
practice.
The
main aim of right-wing politics is to maintain or increase the
wealth of the rich, which usually means maintaining or exacerbating
poverty. One important right-wing strategy is to lie about economics.
It also
helps
to own the media. That being the case,
the political left
generally benefits from simplification of
tax-welfare systems:
- Only
the right can afford
expensive accountants to play games with the system. The simpler the
system, the fewer games can be played. An important advantage
of
BI+CI
is its lack of loopholes, especially if tax deductions (which
traditionally benefit the rich more than the poor) are no longer
allowed.
- An
important general strategy of the political
right is
deception. In fact, without deception, the right can hardly win
elections (more).
A complicated
tax-welfare system gives the right wing many opportunities to trick
low-income earners into voting for them, against their interests. A
good way to
stop the lies, or help people to see through them, is to radically
simplify the system. A simple system is more transparent, and hence
more democratic.
This,
then,
is the left-wing economic theory that I am proposing:
radical simplification of both tax and social security so that poverty
can be eliminated and everyone is motivated to work (but free not to),
and the right can no longer trick and deceive the
left. Democracy based on human rights and honesty.
BI+CI would also change how we
think about money.
In modern
capitalist democracies, people "earn" money, the amount depending on
work and ability. Exceptionally, people receive benefits if they are
somehow desperate, for example if they are unemployed despite
reasonable attempts to find work. These are conservative, capitalist
ideas, and BI+CI would replace them with more progressive, centrist
ones. The
reasons and
justifications for earning or receiving money would change as
unemployment benefit and income tax were combined into a single
package. You would
no longer have to "earn" money or need to be "desperate" to
receive it. Instead, everyone would be entitled to both fulfilment of
basic needs (BI) and reward
for work (CI). Public economics would align better with
principles of human rights.
The
art of political
compromise
Imagine
a peaceful society with
a high
standard of living and a sustainable economy. It can be achieved by
striving for a balance between two principles: the right-wing principle
of motivation
to work and the
left-wing principle of fairness.
- Motivation:
CI means everyone is
equally motivated to
work.
- Fairness:
Universal, unconditional BI means
everyone is valued and
treated equally.
We
don't have to choose between those two alternatives. We can have both.
BI+CI shows how it would work.
For
individuals, financial
success in one's chosen career usually depends on two things: privilege
and work
or talent. You
usually need both to succeed financially, but
there are exceptions. Everyone knows stories of rags to riches (e.g.,
Bob Marley had no privilege, but certainly had talent, and he also
worked hard). There are also stories of rich people who live off their
inheritance and otherwise do very little (see any celebrity gossip
magazine). And there are are the fallen billionaires, and lotto winners
who squander everything. These extreme examples are especially
interesting, so we remember them more easily that other everyday
examples. But they are exceptional. In fact, most people need both
privilege and work/talent to succeed. BI+CI makes it possible for
everyone to succeed financially by giving everyone a certain
privilege (BI, corresponding to left-wing ideology), and rewarding
everyone to the same extent for their work/talent (flat income tax, a
right-wing
idea).
In that way, BI+CI can be truly democratic and bipartisan.
Capitalism has achieved a
lot, but it never managed to eliminate
poverty. In
a capitalist economy, a
rich
elite
is in charge (democracy is not working), most people are struggling to
get by (poverty is intrinsic), and the system is gradually destroying
itself (biodiversity loss, climate change, nuclear threat). The
communists
similarly tried valiantly and idealistically to eliminate
poverty, but failed. That
is because someone has to be
in
charge, and power inevitably
corrupts. Communism sounds great in theory, but in practice
it tends to make everyone poor except
for a small elite. It also has a remarkable tendency toward
self-destruction. The failure of communism does not make capitalism any
better. Humanity
has
tried repeatedly to make either communism or capitalism work,
but neither solution was stable or sustainable.
BI+CI offers a middle path. On
the political spectrum, BI+CI
is
centre-left, lying between the
traditional left (Labor) and the centre. BI+CI
is not anti-communist, nor
is
it
anti-capitalist. It is about finding the best compromise. We
already have a compromise of sorts,
but it is
not working very well. The compromise adopted by modern
democratic states accepts capitalism as the main driver of wealth and
tames it, preventing its more destructive laissez-faire tendencies.
That's
good, but we can do better.
Figure
1 is
based
on two well-known and widely accepted ideas:
1.
Regardless
of income, everyone should always have enough money to live on. Freedom
from poverty is a
human right.
2.
The
more you earn, the more you take home. People should be fairly
rewarded for their
hard work, good ideas, and social contributions.
Regardless
of your political ideology, you can hardly disagree with either
proposition. If you are poor and suddenly start to earn good money, you
surely deserve to keep most of it. If you are rich and suddenly lose
everything, you surely deserve a meal and a roof over your head.
Nothing could be fairer than to treat everyone equally according to
these two principles.
BI+CI would treat everyone equally, abolishing the
stigma
of unemployment and class differences. Under BI+CI, everyone would have
the same rights and the same
obligations, regardless of income. Everyone would have the right to
work hard and earn
more, the right to be lazy and earn less, the right to take time off
for an indefinite period, the right to be creative, the right to
explore new horizons, and the right
to look after other people without risking poverty.
On the left side of politics, two different ways of
eliminating poverty can be distinguished: eliminating
unemployment
and introducing universal BI. Contrary to popular belief, both are
possible. Full employment means the government will
offer a
reasonable job
to anyone who wants
one, but will not force anyone to accept any job.
According to Modern
Monetary Theory, any government can do
that simply by creating the money. There is always a lot of work to do
(in sustainable energy,
promoting biodiversity, infrastructure, health and so on). Creating
money causes inflation, which can be avoided by taxing
the rich. The
wealth of the rich is enormous and steadily increasing. The
total
global wealth of all billionaires is about $15tn and there is
about $10tn in tax havens. This wealth must be taxed directly to reduce
the power of the rich and move back in the direction of democracy.
Whereas many lefties and unionists prefer the idea of
full employment, many greenies and liberals think that full
employment would restrict people’s freedom too much, and
argue
for BI instead. Conversely, whereas many greenies and liberals
prefer BI, many lefties and unionists point out that people need to
work to feel wanted and useful, so it’s better to offer full
employment. But there is no need to choose, because both full
employment and BI are possible at the same time. BI+CI aims
to
achieve both.
Making
capitalism
sustainable
In a market-based economy
characterized by long-term
unemployment, a
BI that corresponds roughly to the
poverty
line is the only reliable way to eliminate poverty. In a
free market, there are always winners and losers, so there
is always unemployment. Governments need to ensure that
everyone
can participate in the market and human rights are respected.
BI is
the only reliable solution to this problem.
That's why, in the board game of Monopoly,
every player, rich or poor, gets a
BI of $200,
paid
every time the player passes "go". Without that BI, you
can't
play Monopoly. Of
course, capitalism is only sustainable if monopolies are prevented by
democratic and legal mechanisms, but that is a different issue (more).
Equality of
opportunity can only be guaranteed if
governments give everyone (regardless of other wealth or income) an
amount corresponding to the poverty line, on the condition that in
return everyone (regardless of wealth or income) gives back a certain
proportion of all wealth and a certain proportion of all income. That's
a fair deal for everyone, regardless of differences in wealth in income.
BI is consistent with human rights. It not only treats
everyone equally and with dignity, regardless of wealth or income -- it
also controls and reduces
the gap between rich and poor. The rising
wealth gap is one of the world's most pressing problems, and BI could
be part of the solution; we also need new wealth,
transaction and environment taxes.
Ending
slavery and
working poor
A
slave is a person who is forced to work or face serious
consequences. The most serious
consequence is death. Less serious consequences include punishment and
poverty.
Democratic
countries decided to end slavery long ago. But did they really end it? A
tax-welfare
system that forces people to work is a form of slavery: those
who
reject inappropriate work are threatened with poverty.
BI+CI would abolish slavery completely, for the first time. No one
would be
forced to work against their will. At the same time, everyone would be
motivated to work, because welfare traps would be eliminated.
- Young
people would be free to choose their occupation
depending on their skills and interests. The result would be an
unprecedented outburst of creative energy that would benefit society in
unforeseeable positive ways.
- The
unemployed would no longer be stigmatized or
victimized. The working
class would no longer be discriminated against.
- The
category "working
poor" would disappear. People
who work part-time and those whose income lies between unemployment
benefit (perhaps
€1000/mo) and the minimum full-time wage (perhaps €2000/mo)
would enjoy a higher income and easily cover their basic
needs.
Currently, about 12% of US-American citizens are poor (with income
below the poverty line, unable to pay for basic needs) and almost half
of them (5%) are working part-time (working poor). The working
poor exist because of how welfare and progressive tax currently work.
Paradoxically, we can end the era of the working poor by
ending
the era of welfare and tax brackets and introducing BI+CI.
- Employers
would have to offer
their employees what
their work is actually worth in a free and open market. For the first
time, earnings would correspond
to value of work.
- Universal
BI would reflect the equal inherent
value of every
person.
Denial
of human
equality has a long and shocking history. The Nazis coined the
phrase lebensunwertes
Leben
(life unworthy of life) for people who were considered biologically
inferior, including those that could not work for health reasons. Many
of those people were murdered. Today, we want to ensure that nothing of
that kind ever happens
again. Universal BI acknowledges the equal
intrinsic worth of every person in a concrete and tangible way.
Ending
poverty
Humanity has achieved many things, including
eliminating slavery and promoting democracy and human
rights, including equal rights for women. All of these goals
were
achieved to a large extent, if not perfectly.
Today, the world is richer
than ever before. It's time to eliminate poverty. That can be
done if three
conditions are fulfilled:
- Everyone
including the unemployed must receive enough money to live on.
- The
unemployed must be rewarded for any paid work (if and when they find
it) by financial
incentives -- like everyone else.
- The
unemployed must be free not
to work, and to accept the consequences -- again, like everyone else.
The
present system does none of these things -- a massive failure.
- In
most countries, long-term unemployment
benefits are not enough to live on.
- If
you are unemployed and get a part-time job, you lose your unemployment
benefit. People are not rewarded for small amounts of work. Welfare
traps of this kind are highly demotivating: people are
often better off if they reject job offers.
- Those
below the poverty line are forced to work in order to survive.
They have no choice. Even then, many don't have enough (the working
poor). That's hardly different from slavery. We may pride
ourselves that we
got rid of slavery long ago, but today's welfare systems show that we
did not.
BI+CI
solves all three problems
simultaneously.
- Poverty
is eliminated. BI is enough to live on.
- Everyone
is motivated to work. Regardless of
how many hours you
work, you keep a large part of your earnings (CI).
- Human
dignity is respected. Everyone is free not
to work, for any period of
time. Everyone is free to contribute to society by working for free.
These
principles apply in any country, rich or poor. BI+CI is an especially
interesting way to help disadvantaged ("developing") countries improve
their economies. Instead of giving
official development assistance to governmental and
non-governmental organisations, where it sometimes mysteriously
disappears, the governments of richer countries (or private donors)
could give BI (or part of it) directly to
individuals,
avoiding
intermediaries. To benefit from this strategy, people in the target
country would need ID cards linked to private registered bank accounts.
Everyone, rich and
poor, would receive the same rate, financed for example by taxes for
the rich, or new measures to
prevent tax evasion and avoidance. The donor countries would help set
up international control structures to ensure the system works
with a minimum of
abuse or corruption. Countries with sexist legal systems would
not
qualify unless it was clear that women and girls had independent ID
cards and bank accounts and corresponding equal rights. Weitere
Infos
Basic income would, for the first time in history, realize the human
right to a reasonable standard of living. It would reform public
economics such that human rights were automatically achieved
as an
integral part of the system. Caring for the environment would also
become an integral part; basic income would give people the means to
deal rationally with environmental problems. Basic income is an
appropriate foundation for public economics because it simultaneously
promotes efficiency and equity -- treating all people equally, but also
giving people the freedom to be different.
Promoting
equity
Economic equity does not mean equal income or equal wealth. It means
equal economic rights and opportunity. It means equal pay for equal
work. Anything else would be arbitrary discrimination.
BI+CI shows that it is possible for governments to treat everyone
equally while at the same time
eliminating poverty. That is not only a matter of handouts
(the
left-wing approach). It's also a matter of motivating people to work
(the right-wing approach) and maintaining individual freedoms (which
everyone should be concerned about).
Imagine
a combined tax-welfare system that
(i) eliminates
poverty and
(ii) is so simple and transparent that
everyone can understand it. A system that treats people of all incomes
with equal dignity and fairness, but also with equal strictness. Too
good to be true?
In such a system, welfare and tax would change in several ways:
- Welfare
and tax would be applied in the same way to everyone, regardless of
income.
- Welfare
and tax would be treated as equally important.
- Welfare
and tax would be combined with each other and always treated
together.
- The
rules would be very simple, making the system transparent.
Everyone,
regardless of wealth or income, would be treated equally according to
the same simple rules. That's equity!
- People
on high incomes would be
considered equally deserving of BI (given the
increased tax they are paying) as people on low
incomes.
- People on
low incomes would be equally responsible for paying income tax (giving
the BI they are receiving) as people on high
incomes.
- Poverty
would be eliminated and the situation of the unemployed, the unwaged
(domestic/family work, caring, community service, art), and low earners
would generally improve, regardless of how much paid work they had or
the nature of their employment.
Imagine
that: a world in which people are not only equal on paper, but equal in
reality.
Realising
human rights
Freedom from poverty is
included in the Universal
Declaration of Human Rights. The trouble is, no country in the world is
actually implementing this agreement, because no country in the world
has an unconditional BI. That is a pretty bad track record for humanity
in the early 21st Century. We had better get a move on.
According to Article 25 of the
Universal Declaration
of Human Rights,
(1)
Everyone has
the right to a standard of living adequate for the health and
well-being of himself and of his family, including food, clothing,
housing and medical care and necessary social services, and the right
to security in the event of unemployment, sickness, disability,
widowhood, old age or other lack of livelihood in circumstances beyond
his control.
(2)
Motherhood and childhood are entitled to special care and assistance.
All children, whether born in or out of wedlock, shall enjoy the same
social protection.
These things
can be guaranteed with a universal BI. Whether
they can be guaranteed any other way is a good question. Many countries
are trying to solve these problems by conventional welfare payments,
but data on poverty rates suggest that not many are succeeding. When
bureacrats try to evaluate countless individual cases, their work is
expensive, their success is limited, and they constantly infringe the
right to privacy of their clients. Article 12 of the Universal
Declaration of Human Rights provides that
Article
12. No one
shall be subjected to arbitrary interference with his privacy, family,
home or correspondence, nor to attacks upon his honour and reputation.
Everyone has the right to the protection of the law against such
interference or attacks.
Unemployment
offices are infringing this right all the time! They
believe that they have no choice but to pry into people's
private
lives, in order to guarantee that the welfare system is fairly
administered. This is not true. It
is fairer, more
efficient, and more respectful -- all three of these things -- to give
everyone a BI (flat rate) and tax all other income
(flat rate).
In short: BI+CI would allow economic rights that are guaranteed in the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights to be actually achieved
for
the first time.
Redistributing
wealth
Imagine
a radically simplified tax-welfare system that makes it harder for the
rich to avoid
or evade tax. For an individual rich person, the difference between tax
paid before and after
introducing the new system would be bigger than
the BI that everyone receives. At the end of the day, the
rich would have a little less
money (relative to what they have now) and the poor (or those that used
to be poor) would have more.
There
is a lot of money in the world. There
were 2,781 dollar
billionaires on the 2024 Forbes list. They
altogether owned $14.2 trillion.
If
this money was distributed equally among
the entire
world's population, each woman, man and child would get $1700.
That's over
$4
per
day for a year -- twice the World Bank's poverty line.
Poverty
could now be eliminated everywhere by redistributing part
of the
wealth
of the rich. The rich would stay rich, and there would still
be a
big gap
between the rich and the not so rich.
How could governments get hold of some of that money? It's not as hard
as many
people think. The government just has to change the law. By
introducing or increasing wealth
taxes.
By harmonizing wealth taxes internationally to prevent capital flight.
By simplifying the law both within and between countries to reduce
opportunities to evade or avoid tax. By improving international
agreements to suppress tax havens. All of these things are possible if
politicians have a clear approach that voters can understand.
That makes eliminating poverty a realistic, win-win
proposition. It is no longer a dangerous
revolutionary battle-cry.
So why don't we go ahead and do it?
Of course, the rich (with some refreshing exceptions) would try to
block such a development. But that's not the only problem.
There
is another big obstacle, it seems. The
rest of us find it hard to imagine a world without poverty, because it
never happened before.
Tackling
poverty and climate change
Climate
is today's biggest issue,
because everything depends on
it. Many people regard climate change as a consequence of capitalism.
Capitalism created climate change and is preventing solutions;
therefore, we need to throw it out. Or so the logic goes. But
capitalism could only be ended violently, and the result is unlikely to
be democratic. We need a more moderate solution that maintains a
reasonable level of democracy (better than what we have now).
Capitalism needs to be tamed and brought under democratic control.
BI+CI
is a promising way to achieve that.
In
rich countries, we have passed
the limit of ecological
sustainability. To get back on track, we need a sustainable economy
with zero or negative economic growth. Poorer countries still need
economic growth, but the growth must be environmentally sustainable.
BI+CI would help economies move toward ecological balance.
- It
would end the necessity of gainful employment. Emissions associated
with work would fall.
- It
would
distribute
the incentive to work more equally across socio-economic classes.
Emissions would be partly decoupled from socio-economic status.
- People
would have more time to contribute voluntarily to environmental
projects.
BI+CI
is structurally similar to
the carbon
fee and dividend (CF&D)
approach
to reducing carbon emissions. In CF&D, you pay tax (carbon fee)
when you burn carbon. The government collects the tax and gives
it
back to the general population, divided equally ("dividend"). That
way,
everyone can afford the tax (avoiding the French yellow
vest effect). People on lower incomes are typically better
off, because they typically burn less carbon.
The carbon fee is
also applied to imported goods that have not already
been carbon-taxed, putting other countries under pressure to
adopt a similar system. The
idea is nicely
explained by Californian entrepreneur Dan Miller (Roda group) in a Ted talk.
Comparing
CF&D with BI+CI, the
carbon tax is analogous to
income tax,
and the carbon dividend is analogous to BI. The
rate of tax is
flat in both cases. If
the two ideas co-existed, CI could be increased by increasing
carbon tax. CF&D
and BI+CI could together bring society closer to a simpler, fairer,
more
motivating tax-welfare
system that eliminates poverty.
The rich may oppose both CF&D
with BI+CI, because
in both
cases they would
pay more than they receive and it would be harder for them to play
their usual tricks with legal loopholes. But if more people voted on
the
left-green side of politics, such reforms would be possible.
There
is
surprisingly little economic literature on BI+CI. Many experts
in public economics must have considered it -- the benefits, after all,
are obvious. But the few who write about it avoid
listing the
multiple
benefits and instead tend to
present misleading
reasons why it should not be introduced. Either that or they exaggerate
the problems relative to the benefits. At the end, they
stop
short of recommending it.
A possible
reason is that the rich don't
like BI+CI. It's
too fair.
It treats everyone equally! The rich prefer the
current corrupt
system, which
is
giving them a free ride. BI+CI exposes this gigantic trick. No
wonder it's unpopular. And many economists are intuitively wary of
recommending something that the rich don't like. It's understandable.
People have to worry about their careers and feeding their families.
The present complex system is helping the rich take advantage of tax
havens, tax
deductions, hedge funds, black-box charities, donor-advised funds with
huge tax benefits ("philanthropic fracking"), and other accounting
tricks and neoliberal fraud. That is why we still have chronic poverty
and a wide and widening wealth gap.
A possible solution is to radically simplify the system, making it more
transparent so that tricks of this kind are no longer possible. As an
example of such simplification, BI+CI should be an important part of
left-wing
politics. But economists who promote left-wing ideas are taking a risk.
The rich have the money, and often that is where their wages are coming
from, ultimately.
That being the case, it is no surprise if some economic studies of
BI+CI
conclude that there is something wrong with it, or it needs
further investigation before it can be taken seriously or implemented.
Many claim that BI+CI would be "too expensive" without considering the
extraordinary inefficiency of the current system. The current system is
not only enormously expensive, it is also contributing to
human
self-destruction by climate change. What could be more expensive than
that? Significant emissions
reductions are possible if people pay high carbon taxes, but we also
need to eliminate poverty.
Here are a few articles that I found about BI+CI and some brief
comments. Articles in which BI is (somewhat misleadingly) called
"negative income tax" are not listed.
- Atkinson,
A. B. (1996). Public economics in
action: The basic
income/flat tax proposal. OUP.
The
author of
this book evidently believes in BI+CI, otherwise he would
not have written a book about it. But he claims to be neither
for
or against BI+CI, and merely suggests that it should be seriously
investigated.
- Dawkins,
P., Johnson, D., Scutella, R., Beer, G., & Harding, A.
(1998). Towards a negative income tax system for Australia. Australian
Economic Review, 31(3),
237-257.
The
authors
of this article find that "to ensure that no current social security
beneficiaries become worse off under such a system would either be very
expensive to introduce or require a tax rate that is likely to be
unacceptably high". By "very expensive" I guess they mean that the rich
would
have to pay fair levels of tax according to a transparent system,
following the same rules as everyone else. Not a strong argument!
- Rankin,
K. (2011, June). Basic income flat tax and public property
rights. Proceedings of the 2011
Conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists.
This
author
genuinely believes in BI+CI. In his paper, he focuses on some of the
real
benefits. He points out that "in New Zealand at least, a de facto BI+CI
tax-benefit regime already exists, and that therefore there need be no
significant transitional redistributions arising from a formal adoption
of a Basic Income Flat Tax structure". The same could be said for many
other countries.
- Scutella,
R. (2004). Moves
to a basic
income-flat tax system in
Australia: Implications for the distribution of income and supply of
labour. Working paper,
Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic
and
Social Research.
The
author compares the implications of left-wing (high BI, low
CI)
and right-wing (low BI, high CI) versions of BI+CI and finds
neither be an acceptable alternative to the current system. By
"acceptable" I guess she means "acceptible to the rich". Everyone
else would love it!
- Strengmann-Kuhn,
W. (2007). Finanzierung
eines
Grundeinkommens durch
eine „Basic Income Flat Tax“.
Grundeinkommen und
Konsumsteuer, Karlsruhe, 140-153.
This
is
a
genuine attempt to propose an urgently needed reform. Figure
4 (Abbildung 4, Abb. 4) of this paper
is essentially the same
as Figure 1. It shows
how CI goes down as BI goes up and vice versa.
My academic background is in sciences. I studied physics and publish
research in
psychology. I am interested
in clear thinking and the correct use of mathematical
arguments.
But there is also a personal story behind all of this. In 1987, I
finished writing my doctoral
thesis
at the University of New England in Armidale NSW Australia. I then got
the chance to publish it as a book. But for that I needed another three
months to revise the thesis, taking into account the examiners' many
helpful suggestions. During that time I would have no income.
So I went to the local unemployment office and applied for the "dole".
There was a form to fill in. It asked me to declare all
income,
which would be deducted from the handout. I did indeed have other
income: I was playing the piano in a restaurant and being paid in cash.
But there was no record of that income. I guess only the restaurant
manager and myself knew about it. Should I declare it or not?
Then I looked at the other people standing in line. They were being
asked the same question. The government was generously believing their
answers, but at the same time encouraging them to be dishonest about
their income. The system was also discouraging them to work. If an
honest person was offered a few hours work for cash in that situation,
s/he would be motivated not to accept the offer. How crazy is that?
The importance of encouraging honesty should not be underestimated. We
live in a world of lies and liars.Trumpism is the tip of an iceberg.
Dishonesty is paralyzing our political systems and our democracy. Take
for example the climate denial that is regularly published in the
Murdoch media (Newscorp). Climate denial is
literally threatening
the future survival of humanity. The same applies to international tax
evasion, and many other political problems. Most of our existential
human problems involve lying and dishonesty. We need to improve school
education in the general area of morality and ethics and to promote a
positive society based on personal trust, in which each individual's
personal dignity depends on her or his own honesty and reliability.
Back then in Armidale NSW, I had been studying physics and doing a lot
of
mathematical modeling and computer programming. With that in mind, the
solution was obvious: just take the current rather complex relationship
betwee net and gross income and draw a straight line through
it
("line
of best fit", "regression line"). In other words: give everyone the
"dole" and tax all income at the same flat rate. Treat everyone equally
and close the unemployment office. Suddenly everyone would have enough
to live on, everyone would be motivated to work, and the government
would no longer encourage people to lie about their income. Bingo!
I also realised that BI+CI is implicitly progressive, and realised how
important it is for people to understand two points: First, under BI+CI
the more you earn the higher proportion of your income is paid in tax.
Second, the tax brackets of the present system encourage dishonesty.
Creative accounts use them to avoid tax by shifting income around. Tax
evasion is regressive, if people on higher incomes (the ones who can
afford good accountants) end up paying a smaller proportion of their
income in tax than people on lower incomes. The best way to ensure that
all income tax is paid in full is to make the tax rate flat.
Ever since then I have been trying to explain this idea to other people
-- mostly in vain. What could be more surprising than an idea that
hardly anyone understands -- although it would clearly benefit everyone
and the whole society. And the idea is so simple!
I started by publishing a short article in Nucleus,
the student newspaper of the University of New England. Later, I found
out that the idea of negative
income tax had been around for
decades, but for some reason no-one
had managed to introduce it and there was almost no discussion about
it. It's a bit like global warming -- in the 1980s, as now, it was the
most important thing I should have learned about in my physics
training, but to my knowledge none of my teachers ever mentioned it.
Incidentally,
I am not writing
this in an attempt to
improve my own income. I am lucky that my income is good, typical of
the middle of the middle class in a rich country. If anything, BI+CI
would slightly reduce my net income, because it would slightly reduce
the incomes of most moderately good earners to finance the BI. That
is
surely a small price to pay for the satisfaction of seeing poverty
eliminated and living in a fairer, more democratic society.
I have
only one thing to gain from this idea being more widely understood, and
that is the satisfaction of living in a saner world.
Acknowledgments.
I thank
Martin Diendorfer, Manfred Füllsack,
Edith
Glanzer,
Robert Hill,
Lukas Meyer, and Georg Quaas for useful feedback.