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Bring
Back Truly Progressive Taxation and Eliminate Poverty with
BIFT: Basic
Income and Flat Tax
Richard
Parncutt
1985-2025 |
BIFT stands for Basic Income and
Flat Tax -- specifically, universal unconditional basic income and flat
income tax. BIFT is a promising approach to tax and welfare that could solve
a long series of social, political, and economic problems. But BIFT is
often misunderstood -- perhaps because most people
are so attached to a traditional right- or left-wing perspective.
Which of the following are you?
- If you
sympathize with the political left, you may be
interested
in the
idea of giving everyone a basic income as a way of ending poverty. You
may realize that advances in technology and artificial intelligence
are threatening jobs like never before and see BI as a solution. You
may want unemployment
offices to stop hassling and stigmatizing the unemployed and give them
more freedom to choose a job that suits their abilities and aspirations. You may simply
want to make the rich pay -- to reduce the injustice of the rising
wealth gap.
- If
you are more politically conservative, you may be attracted by the idea
of
reducing the size and complexity of government, or simplifying
bureacracy. You may worry about the implications of giving some people
something for free, but not others (perhaps forgetting that most wealth
is inherited:
most wealthy people get most of their wealth for free). You may also be
worried that society can't afford a basic income, or that people will
no longer want to work if basic income is unconditional.
Left-wingers
reading this may feel that BIFT is not left enough and reject it.
By the same token, many right-wingers will fear some new kind of
socialism sneaking in by the back door and respond similarly
negatively. Both such responses are inappropriate. BIFT itself is
neither left of right. Instead,
governments, voters, and economists will be free to make BIFT as left
or as right as they want. They will do that by adjusting two numbers:
BI, the rate of basic income for most people, and FT, the flat rate of
income tax.
Before continuing, please consider adopting a centrist
perspective -- neither left nor right -- and asking yourself this
question: Given
that there are often good arguments on both the left and the right,
what kind of public economic system would be best for society as a
whole?
Contents
As the gap between rich and poor widens, a growing number of
people are
struggling with unemployment, precarity, or insufficient income to pay
for essentials. That's not only bad for people -- it's also bad for the
economy, which relies on consumers with money to spend.
BIFT is a promising solution. But many have never heard of it. It is
not being seriously
discussed, let alone introduced. Many immediately
reject the idea and keep surfing. Here are some impulsive responses:
- Finance: "A basic income would be
too expensive! We can't afford it!"
- Incentive: "With a basic income,
nobody would want to work!"
- Equity: "A flat income tax would
favor the rich!"
In all
three cases, the opposite is the case.
- Finance. The state already
finances diverse social benefits. Basic income can be
financed by redefining existing benefits. In principle, no additional
finance is required, if existing tax regimes are applied fairly. The proposed rate
of flat
income tax within BIFT is relatively high: 50% (less if possible). A
high rate would force the rich to pay more tax, and make it harder for
them to avoid tax. That in turn would enable a higher BI. A high FT
would be
counterbalanced and made acceptable by the BI that everyone
would get. Balancing the books would be a
matter of adjusting the position and
gradient of the
line on the above graph. Besides, it
is the current system that is too expensive. It encourages
people to avoid or evade tax in countless ways. The richer you
are, or the better your accountant is, the more tax you can avoid or
evade. In this way, governments are losing enormous amounts of income.
BIFT, with its flat income tax rate, is a strategy to radically reduce
tax evation and avoidance.
- Incentive. BIFT motivates
everyone to work. The line on the
above graph is straight. That means: no matter what your income is,
with BIFT you always take home more if you work more. Moreover, you
always take home the same proportion of additional earnings. Motivation
to work is always positive and it is independent of income. It is the current
system that demotivates people. The current system only
motivates people who
already
have a job. If you
don't have a job, and you are offered a job
that pays hardly more than welfare, the current system motivates you to
stay on welfare. This welfare trap is
the cause of diverse social and
economic problems, and BIFT removes it.
- Equity. BIFT treats everyone
equally, rich and poor, employed and unemployed. With BIFT it is no
longer possible to discriminate against a given group on the basis
of their financial resources. It is
the current
system that is undermining equity. The current system labels and
stigmatizes people as either working or unemployed, and treats these
two groups differently. People think that it is necessary to make this
distinction, but BIFT shows it is not.
The
three points can be understood by looking at a simple example. Imagine
this scenario. You are
unemployed and dependent on a BI of €1000 per month. Hopefully more,
but the round figure is easy to work with.
- Finance. The amount of BI
corresponds to what you would have received in unemployment benefit in
the present system. Clearly, the government can finance BI. But with
BIFT the government is not threatening to withdraw or reduce the BI if
you don't take a job that is offered or if you find part-time work.
Giving everyone BI means an additional cost for the government, but
as I will show that cost can be covered by FT within BIFT. Besides,
BIFT motivates
people to work more than the current system does. The additional work
raises tax
income. BIFT also makes it harder the rich to avoid income tax,
which again raises government income. That's how the BI would be
financed.
- Incentive.
Analyzing your private situation, let's suppose that of the €1000 you receive
each month,
€800
is for fixed, unavoidable expenses: cheap
rent, cheap food, cheap transport. You have only €200 to spend as
you choose. Now suppose you are offered a half-time job that pays €1000 gross. In the
current system, you would lose your benefit. Your net income would stay
the same. You would effectively be working for nothing. Why take such a
job? With
BIFT as shown in the graph, you would take home €500 extra per
month (50% of €1000). The amount you
had left after paying unavoidable
bills would rise from €200 to €700. Of course you
would take the job. In this case, BIFT motivates you to work, whereas
the present system motivates you to "stay on welfare".
- Equity. With BIFT, the welfare and
tax offices do not treat you any differently from anyone else in this
situation.
Despite your low income, no welfare office is telling you what to
do. You are not being treated like a failure. No-one is
interfering in your private affairs. No one is implying
that poverty is the "fault of the poor". Instead, the tax office is
making sure you pay
your taxes like anyone else.
Understanding the graph
In modern
capitalist democracies, people "earn" money, the amount depending on
work and ability. Exceptionally, people receive benefits if they are
somehow desperate, for example if they are unemployed despite
reasonable attempts to find work.
BIFT would change the way we think about income. It would change the reasons and
justifications for earning or receiving money. It would do that by combining
unemployment benefit and income tax into a single package. You would
not necessarily have to "earn" money or need to be "desperate" to
receive it. Instead, everyone would be entitled to both fulfilment of
basic needs and reward for work.
The
line on the above graph basically says this:
- No
matter how much you earn (gross income), the government gives you the
same BI at a rate near the poverty
line. The BI is universal
(everyone receives it)
and unconditional (the
amount is independent of any other income).
- No matter how much you earn (gross
income), you pay income tax at the same flat rate (FT).
The
graph illustrates three important features of BIFT, at a
glance.
- There
is only one line. BI and FT are regulated by a single, simple
mathematical relationship.
- The line is
straight. That
means that the more you work,
the more money you take home. The proportion of your income
that you
take home is always the same.
- The
line does not go through the origin.
It crosses the vertical
axis at a point near the poverty line.
That eliminates poverty and makes income tax implicitly
progressive (see below). Poverty
would be eliminated, even if BI was slightly below the poverty line,
because people would be free to earn extra income
without
returning any of the BI.
BIFT
is an inseparable combination
of BI and FT. BI cannot be
changed without changing FT and vice-versa. It can be
misleading to consider BI alone, or FT alone. The
line on the graph shows the combined effect of BI and FT.
That is
all that
matters. As
Frank Sinatra crooned: "Love and marriage go together like a horse and
carriage".
- BI needs FT. The
BI has to be financed, and the
FT would be the main source of that finance. It follows that if I am
receiving an
unconditional BI, I should also pay tax on any and all
additional
income, regardless of how rich or poor I am.
- FT needs BI. Conservatives
who
want flat income tax at the same time as reducing welfare want the rich
to become even richer and the poor even poorer. No way. FT only works
if accompanied by a BI that covers basic needs.
The diagonal line is a
proposal for
the relationship between gross income
and net
income for
individuals. These two terms are defined as follows:
- Gross
income (horizontal axis) is income before
tax and/or
welfare (or before BIFT).
- Net
income (vertical axis) is income after
tax and/or welfare (or after BIFT).
Therefore,
net income = gross income + BI - FT.
Initial estimates of BI and
FT
For the purpose of this text, I
have
chosen round figures to simplify the calculations:
BI = €1000/month
and FT = 50%. If BIFT were implemented, these values would need to be
adjusted.
- The
political left would want to raise BI, but that may mean raising FT,
which the right would not like. Conversely, the right would want to
reduce FT, but that generally means reducing BI, and the left would
object.
- A BI of €1000/month would
be comparable with current Notstandshilfe
(emergency unemployment assistance) in Austria. The right
would ask whether €1000/month
is too much for a handout that everyone gets, no questions asked? An
appropriate answer is that BIFT would motivate people to work
like never before, sure in the knowledge that no
matter what kind of work they chose or how much they earned, they would
always increase their net income by working more, because they would
never lose the BI.
In that way, the effective unemployment rate
would fall. With more people working, government income from income tax
would rise, helping to fund the BI.
- The proposed value of 50% for FT seems like a psychological
limit that should never be exceeded. For the political right, it would
be too much; for the left, possibly too little, if more income was
needed to finance a higher BI. But FT is not a regular
income tax, and can hardly be compared with existing tax regimes. In
BIFT, FT is
inseparable from BI. In exchange for FT,
everyone would
be getting BI. That's a great deal -- nothing like it ever
happened
before. No one would ever fall into poverty, no
matter what bad decisions they made or what kind of
bad luck they had. At the same time, people could still become as rich
as they wanted. No matter how much they earned -- the more they earned,
the
more money they could take home.
- The
left will point out that €1000/month is not
enough to live on in a rich country. Given the
rising cost of living, a BI of €1200 or even €1500 per
month, comparable with typical unemployment benefits in Austria or the
EU's risk of poverty threshold,
would be preferable. But adjusting one of the two values
(BI and FT) would mean adjusting the
other. If BI was raised from €1000
to €1200,
and
FT was held at 50%, the net income of a person earning €4000
gross would go up from €3000 to €3200.
The tax effectively paid by that person would fall from €1000
to €800.
Across the board, such changes would mean serious loss of
taxation
income. To solve this problem, either FT would have to
exceed 50% (which the right would hardly accept) or other taxes would
be needed.
- Other possible taxes include wealth,
inheritance, transaction, and
environment (carbon). Such taxes are in any case urgently needed to
preserve democracy by reducing the wealth gap, but political
introduction is difficult (more).
Most parties are reluctant to push for
wealth taxes, the main exceptions being left-leaning politicians within
centre-left parties (e.g., Bernie Sanders). It seems unrealistic to
count on new wealth taxes being introduced any
time soon (although a discussion about BIFT might provide the necessary
impetus).
- Instead of increasing BI, one might invest in universal
basic services --- free or subsidized public services such as
water, education, internet, public transport, health care, housing with
electricity and heating/cooling, basic food, legal aid, and banking.
The more such services are available, the lower the BI can be. Of
course, that would also require more taxation income.
Given these complexities, I will stick for the moment with round figures, BI
= €1000/month and FT = 50%, to show how BIFT
might work. The point is to get
the general idea of BIFT accepted first
(in particular, the idea of unconditional
BI) and adjust the numbers later.
Special cases
This text
focuses on the average person, but there are important exceptions,
which apply throughout this text:
- Parents
would
receive BI for their children -- at a lower,
age-dependent rate -- in addition to their own BI.
- People with relevant disabilities
(those that prevent them from working or earning money at the same
level as others) would receive a higher rate of
BI.
- Foreigners would
receive a lower rate of BI, depending on their immigration status.
- Pensioners would a
receive BI corresponding to the minimum
pension plus additional benefits from private pension funds.
Let's assume for the sake of argument that children
receive half of
the standard BI. If BI was €1000, a
single parent with one child under 18 years would receive €1500
plus the freedom to earn any amount of additional money without losing
the BI. A single parent with two children would receive €2000.
One
case in which this could really help people is domestic
violence. BIFT would enable a mother with one or more children to leave
a violent partner behind
and live independently.
In
the case of pensioners, I
am thinking of a system in which the basic income corresponds roughly
to
the current minimum pension. That being the case, net income for
regular
workers would be defined as income after tax and welfare PLUS that part of
today's pension
contributions that pays for the minimum pension in the future. Individuals would
still be free to
pay additional pension contributions.
Implicit
progressivity
Today's
tax systems are explicitly
progressive: the more you earn, the more
income tax you pay as a percentage of
all earned income. For example, you may pay no tax in the lowest income
bracket, 20% in the next, 35% in a medium bracket, and 50% in a
high bracket.
BIFT is implicitly
progressive. The tax rate is always the same (FT). If you earn more
that about twice the BI or
€2000 (in this simulation), the tax
you pay exceeds BI. That is, you effectively become a taxpayer. In
that situation, the
more you earn, the greater proportion of your gross income is
effectively paid in tax. The system is progressive, but the
progressivity is implicit.
Consider the graph again, with BI = €1000 and FT = 50%,
for the sake of argument.
- If you earn €2000/month, you
take home €2000. You receive €1000 as BI plus €1000 in net income
(your gross income minus 50%). Effectively, you pay no tax.
That's the break-even point,
and it corresponds roughly to the minimum full-time
wage.
- If your income before tax/welfare
is less than €2000, you are effectively
receiving benefits. The less you earn, the more
benefits you effectively receive.
- If
you
earn
more than €2000, you effectively pay tax. For
example, if you earn €3000, you take home €2500. Effectively,
you pay €500 in tax, which is 17% of €3000. The
more you earn, the more tax you pay relative to your gross
income. Very high earnings are taxed at a rate approaching
50%.
The
following examples make the implicit progressivity of BIFT clearer.
- If
your monthly income before tax/welfare is zero,
you
will be happy that the government is giving you €1000
per month, no questions asked, to make sure you get by, and not
threatening to reduce it in the future.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €1000, your
income after tax/welfare is €1500.
You are happy that no unemployment office is interfering in your
affairs or threatening to cut your benefit. Like everyone else, you are
motivated to work in the sure knowledge that the more you earn, the
more you take home.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €2000,
your income after tax/welfare is the same. You
are
happy
not to have to pay any tax at this level. Your effective overall tax
rate is 0%.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €3000,
you can
keep €2500.
You are happy
that your effective overall tax rate is only 17%.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €4000,
you
keep
€3000 and effectively pay 25%
tax. The effective overall tax rate is rising as
your income rises, which is only fair.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is
€10,000, you keep €6,000.
You're rich. If you're not happy about something, it's not because of
your money. You can't reasonably be
unhappy about a tax rate of 40%.
With income of that kind, 40% tax is reasonable.
- If
your monthly
income before
tax/welfare
is €100,000,
you keep €51,000.
Per month! What
are you going to do with all that money? Your effective overall tax
rate is 49%.
You are grateful
that this
version of BIFT limits income tax to 50%.
In this
way, BIFT solves the problem of bracket
creep (or fiscal drag).
In the present system, when inflation pushes wages and salaries into
higher tax brackets, the
effective tax rate increases although real earnings remain
constant. The
problem is solved by linking the boundaries between
tax brackets to inflation. In BIFT, which is implicitly progressive,
the problem does not arise, because there are no tax brackets.
Flat tax? Really?
Despite this demonstration of implicit progressivity, commentators on
the left may still
complain that BIFT includes a flat
tax. The term has a bad
reputation. Some conservative and far-right voters advocate flat income
tax, arguing that it's unfair to ask the rich to pay higher rates of
income tax, as in progressive tax systems. But a FT of the kind that
they want -- one without BI -- would make the rich even richer and
the poor even poorer.
Current
income tax
regimes attempt to solve this problem by writing
progressivity into taxation law. In other words, progressivity is
explicit. Richer
people pay
a higher proportion of
their income back in tax. That is supposed to stop the wealth gap
between rich and poor from getting bigger. Unfortunately, it is not
working. The wealth gap has been rising for decades.
In BIFT, the expression "flat tax" has a different meaning. It is part of a
system that is implicitly progressive. The degree of progressivity
depends on how the two
parameters, BI and FT, are set. The bigger the BI (or the bigger the
FT), the more
implicitly progressive the taxation becomes (and
the more left-wing). The smaller the BI (or the smaller the FT), the
less progressive (and
the more right-wing).
Financing BI
Many oppose BI because they think
it would be too expensive. In
fact, BIFT
would require no additional funding, if the line on the above graph was
a
line of best fit through the existing complex relationship between net
and gross income. It's a matter of
adjusting the amount of BI and the amount of FT to balance the books.
Said another way, BI can be financed by income tax if both welfare and
taxation are
simultaneously and jointly simplified.
By simplying income tax, BIFT would make income tax harder to avoid.
Since all
income would be taxed at the same rate, the tax could often be
collected immediately, without waiting until the end of the year.
Some have discussed financing BI with consumption taxes. That is
problematic if consumption taxes (e.g., VAT, Mehrwertssteuer) hurt the
poor more than
the rich. But in countries where consumption taxes are already quite
high, it may be pragmatic for consumption taxes to contribute to
financing BI within BIFT. They at least represent a stable and reliable
source of income.
Guy
Standing has proposed a basic income scheme underwritten by
taxation on the rich. I am all in favor of wealth taxes. As the wealth
gap between rich and poor widens and the number of billionaires
increases, wealth taxes become all the more urgent. But I don't think
BI should depend too much on wealth taxes, because they are politically
unreliable. Whenever the government moves to the right, they risk being
cut. For BI to work, it needs a strong foundation. Income tax is
traditionally the biggest
and most reliable source of state income.
BI supporters have also considered financing the BI with inheritance
taxes, transaction
taxes, and carbon taxes. We need more of all of those, to
reduce the wealth gap, and all can contribute to BI. Modern Monetary
Theory may also be relevant so this discussion.
But once we realize that BIFT can finance itself, such discussions
become unnecessary distractions. The point is to implement BI in the
existing system.
The objection that "BIFT would be too expensive" is problematic in
another way. Humanity has never been richer. There are about 3000
billionaires in the world, with a total wealth of $15 tn. If they paid
normal and fair amounts of tax, there would be plenty of money for any
beneficial project. The problem is not the expense -- it's the failure
of governments to tax the rich fairly (or at all, in many cases).
Transparency
and democracy
The present tax/welfare system is conservative, treating the
unemployed like second- and third-class citizens merely because
they lost their job, while at the same time making it easy for the rich
to avoid tax. By labeling and stigmatizing the unemployed, the system
invites the employed to blame the "lazy" unemployed for the country's
woes, whatever they may be. That causes all kinds of anger and
frustration, leading to violence and far-right
politics.
The current system is also complex. So much so, that no-one understands
all the details and possibilities. People often think
there must be a good reason for that, but there is not. The
current system
is complex for two bad reasons:
- Generations
of
politicians
have added details in an attempt to impress specific groups of voters.
- Generations
of rich people have employed smart, expensive accountants to find
loopholes in taxation law that enable them to evade tax.
With BIFT,
neither of those two strategies would be possible. The system could
only be changed or adjusted along one axis, from left wing to right
wing. Left-wingers would push for higher rates of BI and FT, and
right-wingers would push for the opposite. In that way, BIFT would
be more democratic: more transparent
and therefore easier for voters to understand. Democracy only works if
people understand what they are voting for! In that way, BIFT would
benefit the left.
Think about the complexity of tax and welfare systems
and how that relates to transparency, fairness, and democracy. Both
tax and welfare are
currently so complicated that veritable armies of bureaucrats and
accountants are needed to understand and administer them. Like
specialist surgeons that understand only one part of the body, experts
in tax or welfare are typically responsible for only one part of the
system and have trouble seeing the big picture.
That gives the rich an
advantage. They pay accountants to exploit the system's
complexity, finding loopholes that will enable them to evade or avoid
tax. The implications are enormous. The accountants of the rich are
constantly reducing their tax bills and depriving governments of
revenue. They do this in both legal and illegal ways. The rich can
easily succeed in this game. For
the middle classes, it's not so easy. Their accountants are more honest
or less clever. The poor have no chance at
all. They can't afford accountants.
The rich
benefit from
systemic complexity.
The solution is not to give everyone a free accountant. The solution is
to simplify the system. That should be a central left-wing
agenda.
Astonishingly, it is not.
Are we
so used
to the complexity and opacity of
both welfare and tax that we forget what a simple system would
be
like?
Relative to the current system, a simpler system would be
more democratic, and in that sense more left-wing. But if BIFT
was introduced, people of all political
colors would soon
get used to it and eventually regard it as normal, wondering how we
survived so long with the previous, crazy system. Many
conservatives would like BIFT because it reduces bureaucracy and
government interference -- consistent with conservative calls for small
government.
Sometimes the left is its own
worst enemy. Left-wingers of different
kinds struggle with each other, allowing the right to swoop in and win
the next election. We cannot let that happen in the case of BI. The
task of eliminating poverty and creating a caring society is too
important. To overcome the right's stubborn resistance, which will
always be there, we need to unify the left; and the left needs to
understand BIFT.
Paradoxically, BIFT is often misunderstood despite its simplicity. That
is because it turns the current system on its head. Instead of giving
people benefits because they are desperate, it gives everyone the same
benefit. Instead of taxing people because they have a good income, it
taxes everyone. In that way, everyone is respected.
Paradoxically, in the end people on lower incomes are better off.
Unfortunately,
many people refuse to believe that a system of welfare and taxation
could be either simple or fair, let alone both at the same time. It's
understandable. We
are so used to the
current complicated system that we have lost the ability to
appreciate the benefits of simplicity and clarity. We have forgotten
what it is like to actually understand how the system works.
For a change, BIFT is not a trick. It is too simple for that. Its power
lies in its simplicity. Nor is BIFT politically left or right. It
is politically neutral. It
is a new foundation for productive, fair collaboration between
left and right. Whereas the most immediate benefits would be felt on
the left as poverty was effectively eliminated, the right would also
benefit from improved long-term financial stability.
Democratic
determination of BI and
FT rates
The rates of BI and FT used for the graph are only for
illustration. The
exact values would be determined in
a democratic political process. Socialists would prefer a higher rate
of BI, and a higher rate of FT to finance it. Capitalists would
prefer a lower rate of both BI and FT. The two groups would meet
somewhere in the
middle. The
result would be fairer and
more transparent than the current system.
Because
BIFT is so simple, it would be easy to predict the consequences
of such changes, so people would really understand what they were
voting for. Today, people
without the
privilege of a good education are often tricked into voting
conservative by privately owned media. BIFT would make it harder to trick
people. They
could make informed decisions
and act in their self-interest.
I
am assuming that the government would roughly balance
the books, paying out the same amount in BI as it receives in FT. For
example, I assume in the above examples that a flat income tax of
50% would
entirely finance the basic income. The tax rate could be lower if
supplemented by wealth
taxes or similar. In
reality, things are not quite like that, but for the
purpose of argument it's a reasonable assumption. Economic stability is
an important factor.
How much BI is the right amount? The political left tends to argue
for a relatively high amount that clearly lifts everyone out of
poverty. They propose an amount that is higher than usual
measures
of the
poverty line, and higher than the minimum total benefit currently
received by the long-term unemployed. The
political right tends on the contrary to argue for a lower amount that
forces people to work at least a few hours per week to make ends meet.
Perhaps the truth lies between these two approaches?
A relatively high BI might be justified if it was less than gross
national
product divided
by the (adult) population. But a
high BI could have enormous political and
macroeconomic
consequences. The history of economic revolutions and radical reforms
teaches us that it is better to change the political and economic
landscape gradually, to encourage stability and avoid any
future backlash.
Besides, in a democracy, BI can only be
introduced if a majority of
people agree with it. If the amount being proposed seems to high, BI
won't happen. Unfortunately, many fear the BI will make people
lazy -- especially if the BI is relatively high. Those people are
unlikely to change their minds until they see with their own
eyes that BIFT motivates everyone to work regardless of income.
The BI is often supposed to "meet a person's basic needs", but
estimates of
what that costs vary. The BI that I am proposing would be rather
low compared to typical estimates -- less
than the poverty line (however defined)
or the minimum total benefit usually received by the long-term
unemployed. A relatively low BI would be reasonable given
that, for the first time,
unemployed or unwaged people would be free
to supplement their benefit
for a few hours or a couple of days per week without losing any of it.
The extra
income would be taxed, but that tax burden would be much smaller than
the burden of losing some or all of unemployment benefit.
Keeping that in mind, there are two ways to set and adjust the BI -- at
least
initially, when it is first introduced:
- The freedom to work as
much or as little as one wants, while always receiving an income that
covers basic living costs, has monetary value. Let's say it lies
between 10% and 30% of BI. Perhaps 20% is a reasonable figure.
That being the case, if the poverty line is €1300, the BI should
be €1100.
- When BIFT corresponds to a straight line of
best fit
through the current relationship between gross and net income, the BI
will inevitably be lower than the poverty line. That's because
the current system is giving such a bad deal to low income earners --
those who are earning little more than the unemployment
benefit (which they have therefore lost). BIFT would
give low income earners (casual and part-time workers) a better deal,
even if the BI remained below the poverty line.
Both
BI and FT would be periodically adjusted in a democratic process. That
would allow the BI to be increased gradually
after being introduced. In that way, poverty could be minimized or
eliminated.
Now imagine a
situation where BIFT is
already in
force. Some people look at the straight line in the graph and start
thinking about bending it. The following arguments suggest that they
would never succeed in doing that. Instead, they would learn the
virtues of keeping the line straight. Here is how it might happen:
- The
left might argue that the marginal tax rate should increase as income
increases. Economists would then point out that BIFT is
already
inherently progressive, and that progressivity can be increased or
decreased simply by adjusting BI and FT. Instead of bending the line,
why not increase both BI and FT for everyone? It would have a similar
effect.
- Similarly,
the right might argue that the marginal tax rate should decrease as
income increases. After all, they might claim, if the rich have to pay
50% in income tax, it will reduce competitivity or cause capital flight
-- the usual misleading arguments. In reply, one could suggest
decreasing both BI and FT, which would have a similar effect. There's
no need to bend the line.
Said
another way: life becomes much simpler when the line on the graph is
kept straight by law, which prevents such misleading discussions from
even starting. The only real question is how to set the two parameters
BI and FT.
The
end of tax deductions
In
the current
system, income earners typically pay tax on their income throughout the
year. At
the end of the year, they submit a claim for a tax return. The final
amount of tax paid depends on this yearly statement. The claim includes
expenses incurred when earning income, which are
often deducted from income.
People love tax deductions because
they reduce their tax bill. The
trouble is, tax deductions also reduce the tax bill of the rich, and
the rich typically save more money this way. The
richer you are, the more you can pay accountants to dream up brilliant
tax deduction schemes. The richer you are, the more you can invest in
your business -- your means of production. In
the end, the current system of tax
deductions means that people with low or medium incomes pay
more
tax relative to the rich.
If I want to teach the
piano, it is my problem to buy the piano for the lessons. It is my
business to estimate the risk, not the government's. Banks are
available to lend me the money and it is their problem to decide
whether I am likely to pay the money back or not. If the government
wants to promote
piano teaching for political reasons, they can give me a subsidy.
Under
BIFT, one might realistically imagine a world with no tax
deductions, no tax statements, and no tax returns for most
people. This radical simplification, which would benefit the poor
more than the rich, is possible because both BI
and FT
involve flat rates. It would no longer be necessary to wait until the
end of the year to calculate your tax. More often than that (probably
every month) there would be an electronic financial transaction between
each individual and the government. Those on low incomes would receive
money and those on high incomes would pay. The amount would be
calculated according to the above graph. Each transaction
would be
closed and complete.
BIFT would be introduced in
stages, in a transition period (see below). During that same time, tax deductions
could be gradually phased out -- just as governments
currently change which expenses count as deductions
and which do not (more).
The end of cash
BIFT assumes that all income is taxed. For BIFT to work fairly, all
income must be declared. A possible way to achieve that is to make it
illegal to pay by cash in exchange for work. To receive any income,
whether BI or wages, it would be necessary to open a bank account and
receive the money by appropriately labeled bank transfer. Going even
further, BIFT might work best in a cashless society in which all
financial exchanges are electronically recorded.
That raises well-known issues of privacy and centralized control. But a
cashless economy also has advantages: reduced business costs, less tax
evasion, less money laundering (more). Getting rid of
cash might even reduce
transmission of disease (on dirty banknotes). The
world seems in any case to be moving in the direction of a cashless
economy, so let's see how that develops.
Why
BIFT is good
In the interests of long-term stability, BIFT
would fulfill the following four criteria proposed by Georg
Quaas in 2017:
- Existing work incentives would be maintained
and improved.
- Social security would not be completely
restructured (risky
experiments would be avoided).
- For the same reason, the reform would, in the
end, simplify the
system.
- The additional tax burden for higher income
earners would be
perceived as acceptable.
The transition to BIFT
Public economic systems are complex and their many elements interact in
complex and sometimes unpredictable ways. The path toward BIFT should
therefore be taken in relatively small steps, each time waiting for a
new equilibrium to be established. Changes that are unnecessarily large
or fast should be avoided.
The first step might be to draw a line of best fit through the current
relationship between gross and net income such that the net income of
low income earners slightly increased and that of high income
earners slightly fell. In this first stage, the BI would be
relatively small. It would be subtracted from existing benefits so that
for most receivers the total benefit would remained unchanged.
The BI would then be increased in a series of steps, each time reducing or
eliminating corresponding benefits and adjusting FT to balance the
national budget. The goal would be to
eliminate poverty by gradually increasing BI to the poverty line,
however defined. That way, the incentive to work would be maintained.
At every step toward BIFT, the relationship between the supply and
demand of labor
would change. Inflation might increase for two reasons:
- People
on low incomes would be under
less pressure to accept uninteresting job offers (especially in the
case of part-time work). Employers would need to offer higher wages
for those jobs. That would increase production
costs, which in turn
would increase prices. At the same time, unemployment would increase.
- The
average person would have more
money to spend. There would be no more "working
poor"; those
who had previously fallen into that category would be able to afford to
pay more for basic goods and services.
BIFT
would reduce the wealth gap: whereas poorer people
would have more money to spend, richer people would have less. If that
relationship was carefully managed, the effect on inflation would be
small or negligible.
Inflation could be reduced by increasing interest rates to limit the
rate of private borrowing.
Gradually, new stable relationships between inflation and
employment would
emerge. Unemployment would no longer be the problem that it
is today, because it would no longer be linked to poverty. It would
become more difficult to measure unemployment because more people would
work part-time and there would be more flexibility in the duration of
part-time work.
A
vision for a better world
As the world lurches from one
crisis to the next, and the number
of billionaires steadily increases, undermining democracy, many are
talking about reforming capitalism to make it
sustainable. But people have different ideas about how to do that.
On the one hand, we need globally
harmonized wealth taxes. That could stop the rich moving their
wealth internationally to avoid tax. That should be clear. But we also
need to reform public economics, to improve quality of life
for all people, regardless of wealth. That means reforming the way
income is taxed, and reforming the way welfare payments are
distributed.
In "Marx in Soho: A Play on
History", Howard Zinn proposed:
"Give people what they need: food, medicine, clean air, pure water,
trees and grass, pleasant homes to live in, some hours of work, more
hours of leisure. Don't ask who deserves it. Every human being deserves
it." BIFT is a way of making that happen in a practical and sustainable
way.
Imagine achieving all of the following social goals,
simultaneously:
- Poverty:
End
it at last, and for everyone: children, disabled, single parents,
unemployed.
- The wealth
gap
(difference between rich and poor):
Reduce it. Improve democracy.
- The gender
gap
(difference between male and female incomes):
Reduce it. Weaken patriarchy.
- The incentive
to work:
Increase it across the board. Make work more enjoyable.
- The freedom
to work
as little or as much as you want:
Improve it. Achieve true "freedom".
- Working
conditions:
Improve them. Give workers more bargaining power.
- Government
subsidies: Reduce
or eliminate them. For example, farmers may no longer need them.
- Technological
unemployment due
to robots
and artificial intelligence: Alleviate it. Enjoy new tech
without fear.
- Meaningless
bureaucracy and invasion of privacy by tax/welfare offices: Reduce
it. Leave people alone.
- Irrational
behaviors
(crime or creating unpayable debts): Reduce them. Promote personal
responsibility.
- Cheating the
system,
including tax evasion and welfare fraud: Reduce
it. Make people more honest.
- Extremist
politics and
political violence, especially the far right: Reduce
it. Less desperation, more common sense.
- Democracy
(people
power!): Improve it. Bring it
back.
- Big global
problems
such as climate change: Solve
them faster.
A similar list was presented by Guy Standing in his book "Battling
Eight Giants: Basic Income Now" (London: Bloomsbury, 2020). He argued
that basic income (more than other possible social policies) would
address inequality, insecurity, debt, stress, precarity, automation,
populism, and extinction.
The government of any country in the world
could achieve all these points by replacing their current complex
welfare and explicitly progressive income tax systems by BIFT. That may
seem like a wild, exaggerated claim; but I am not aware of any good
counterargument. Besides, BIFT has never happened before.
The best way to test BIFT is to actually introduce it -- probably in
stages -- then to monitor progress.
Going
back in time, it was hard to imagine
the French revolution before it happened, or the vote for women, or the
universal declaration of human rights. But today, after these important
historical developments, we take them for granted and consider them
essential. We have no intention of going back to a world without
freedom, equality, and solidarity, or without equal rights for women,
or without human rights.
Now, imagine a world in which we take
it for granted that
poverty has been eliminated and will never come back. The real
possibility of introducing a universal BI means that a
world of that kind is now possible. So there is no longer any
particular reason why we should not
decide to achieve it. It could merely be a matter of attitude! Imagine
that.
If
tax-welfare system were
radically simplified and BIFT were introduced, we could achieve:
- The
end of poverty:
BI
would be a little below the poverty line, and people could easily
supplement it with additional work. That would effectively end poverty.
- A smaller
wealth
gap: The income of lower
earners would increase. At the same
time, tax evasion and avoidance would be prevented, increasing tax paid
by higher earners.
- A smaller
gender
gap: Women more
often work part-time. With BIFT, that work would become more
worthwhile. Women are also
more likely to receive and manage benefits for children. Those benefits
would increase. Beyond that, it would become easier to organise
feminist families in which old gender roles (childcare, money earning,
and so on) were more equally shared. Beyond infancy, parenting could
become equal and both both parents could work part
time.
- Universal
work
incentive: Welfare traps
would disappear. People would no
longer lose benefits as their income increased. The motivation
to
work would be constant and independent of income.
- Better
working
conditions: A BI would give
workers more bargaining power. They would be freer to leave any
job. From that more solid foundation, they could put employers under
more
pressure to offer good wages and working conditions.
- More personal
freedom:
People would be free to work as much or
as little as they wanted.
Fear and stigmatisation of
unemployment would disappear.
- More rational
behavior. BI
experiments show that people on BI are more likely to educate
themselves and take entrepreneurial risks. They save more money, spend
less on healthcare, and commit fewer crimes (including domestic
violence).
- Less
meaningless
bureaucracy. Tax and welfare
offices would no longer invade
people's privacy. The system would be more efficient and
less wasteful.
- Less cheating:
It would be harder to cheat either the welfare or the tax system. There
would be fewer legal loopholes for the accountants of the rich to
explore.
- A weaker
far
right: There would be fewer
deeply
dissatisfied citizens for populist
politicians. Corporate-controlled media would have fewer gullible
victims to prey on. There would be
less injustice, hence less anger, and less violence. Life for
politicians, journalists, and activists would become safer.
- More democracy:
The system would be simpler and more transparent. Voters would have a
better understanding of what they are voting for at elections. The
political
power of democratically elected governments would increase relative to
that of corporations.
- Fewer global
problems. The revival of
democracy would make it easier to
solve big problems like climate change.
Can a single idea be that good? Some suspect not, but that is
not
a good argument. A good argument is one that engages with the specific
issues, such as those just listed.
Beyond the listed points, BIFT would
bring the usual, well-known benefits of
BI.
- BI would enable people to train
themselves, which would improve the skills and motivation of the
workforce.
- BI would empower people to refuse inappropriate
or dangerous
work,
improving quality of life and reducing the cost of medical care.
- BI would enable people to travel to a new
location to apply for a
different
kind of job that better suits their preferences and skills.
- BI would help
discriminated minorities establish themselves politically and
culturally.
- BI would pay voluntary domestic carers of
children, the aged, and
the
disabled for their valuable work.
- BI would reduce the incidence of domestic
violence by reducing the financial stress that contributes to conflict.
It would also empower victims of domestic violence to escape from
difficult
situations.
- BI would help people in all walks of life to
think clearly about
their situation and solve their problems in a rational manner.
Myths
about BI
These points allow us to revisit a series of common myths about BI.
- Myth
no. 1. BI makes people lazy. The
truth: The current system
makes people lazy
In the current system, if
you are unemployed, you get unemployment benefit. Usually, it is not
enough to live on. That is because the rich are trying to keep the
benefit low. Their logic: If the benefit was too high, you would not be
motivated to
accept poorly paid jobs, and the rich could not get people to work for
them (at least, not for the low wages they would like to pay).
Even if the
rich were feeling generous, poverty would not necessarily be eliminated
by raising the benefit, because that would reduce the motivation to
work and hence the amount of work that gets done, with negative
economic consequences. If you are on unemployment benefit and get a
chance to earn a small amount of money, the money is
deducted from your benefit. So there is no point doing that work!
That's why the unemployed often refuse job offers. It's called the welfare trap.
BIFT solves
this problem by turning the system on its head, as shown in the figure
above. Under BIFT, no matter how much
money you have to spend every month, the amount goes up
if you do extra paid work. In this way, BIFT motivates
people to work
more, regardless of their current income.
- Myth
no. 2. We can't afford BI.
The truth: We
can't afford the
current system.
BIFT
would radically
reduce the waste that is inherent in the present system.
An
example of waste is the money paid to employment
officers to monitor recipients of unemployment benefits. (Are the
welfare recipients
really looking for work? Are they attending job interviews?) BIFT shows
that
this monitoring work is unnecessary.
There is
also a tax problem. The rich
often pay little or no tax. They
achieve that by playing with loopholes and international differences in
taxation law. Governments typically lose much more in tax evasion
(including
international tax havens) than in welfare
fraud (more).
The solution is to require everyone to pay fair amounts of
tax. A simple, transparent approach like BIFT makes that easier to
achieve.
BIFT
could unleash an unprecedented surge
of individual creativity. For the first time,
people would be free to
choose what kind of work they do. As long as that is not happening, an
enormous amount of human potential is going to waste.
Besides,
there is
plenty of money.
Humanity
has never been so rich, and the
rich are hoarding
unimaginably enormous amounts. There
are 2000
billionaires and 50
million millionaires in today's world, and both groups are
growing
steadily. Governments just need to tax them in a normal way and
distribute the wealth a little more fairly.
- Myth
no. 3. You
have to work for every bit of money that you get. The
truth: That
cannot possibly work.
No
society works that way.
Many
people work for no money, and their work is absolutely
essential. Without them, the system would collapse. Some are looking
after other people: children, the elderly, the
disabled. These "carers" are more often women than men, which explains
why women have less money than men on average, and more often live in
poverty. Others are educating themselves (e.g., school children).
Unemployment
is inherent in today's economic systems. Economists agree that it will
never go away. There is an obvious reason. the better technology gets,
the less work
there is to do. You cannot expect people to work for every bit of money
they get when there is not enough work to do.
The
rich can be
as lazy as they like as long as someone is looking after their money.
Most of the rich got most of their money without working. They
either inherited it or manipulated the system to ensure the big money
flowed their way. Usually both. If we had to work for every bit of
money we got, inheritance would be illegal! At the very least there
would be high inheritance taxes, say 50%. Beyond, that, billionaires
never "earn" more than a tiny fraction of
their money. To earn a billion dollars at 10 dollars per hour (24 hours
a day, 7 days a week) would take 100 million hours, that's over 10,000
years.
Clearly,
not everyone
has to
work. So why do we stubbornly believe that everyone has to work? Ideas
that we take for granted are often
socially constructed by powerful people to serve their interests. This
particular
idea is promoted by the rich to ensure that the
poor will keep working for them. The idea is also promoted by the
middle classes, whose position in the pecking order depends on their
support for the rich.
What is
true is first that everyone
needs enough money to live on, to ensure
quality of life and second that everyone
needs to be motivated to work, to ensure that
the important work is done.
- Myth no. 4:
It's a bad idea to give BI to the rich. The truth: It's
a
bad idea not
to give BI to the rich.
BIFT would reduce the net income of the rich. For them, the
increase in FT would exceed the BI. Besides, if the BI was
means tested, someone would have to apply that test and check
people were providing the correct information. Many would try to trick
the system. How many bureaucrats would be
needed to administer that?
- Myth no. 5:
BIFT is bad because it is inflexible. The truth: BIFT's
inflexibility guarantees that everyone will be
treated equally.
Policians
like to claim that they are using public money
efficiently by
making sure those who need it get it, and those who do not do not. From
that perspective, BIFT is a bad idea. It is too inflexible! In other
words, politicians can no longer manipulate welfare and taxation to
attract voters in specific
categories and win elections.
In fact, when it comes to ensuring people’s livelihoods,
inflexibility is a virtue. The risk of arbitrary exceptions,
discrimination, favoritism and so on is avoided. What is
flexible is the numerical value
of the BI and the FT, both of which can be adjusted in
democratic
political processes. After that, both values apply to all people
equally.
The universal declaration of human rights is similarly inflexible.
Everyone has the same rights and obligations, period.
The need for
left-wing
economic theory
A 2019
article in The Guardian
entitled "The new left
economics",
Andy Beckett observed that
For
almost half a
century, something vital has been missing from leftwing politics in
western countries. Since the 70s, the left has changed how many people
think about prejudice, personal identity and freedom. It has exposed
capitalism’s cruelties. It has sometimes won elections, and
sometimes governed effectively afterwards. But it has not been able to
change fundamentally how wealth and work function in society
– or
even provide a compelling vision of how that might be done. The left,
in short, has not had an economic policy.
BIFT is a response to that challenge. The world needs new
left-wing economic theory and policy that can eliminate poverty and
reduce the wealth gap in the 21st century.
Left-wing economic theory is a diverse thing, and it even includes
objections to BI. Many on the left have been suspicious about
BI ever since Milton Friedman, a conservative US economist, proposed
negative income tax, which is almost the same thing. Milton Friedman
also inspired the unmitigated disaster of neoliberalism. It was part of
his theory of freedom.
But something is not bad just because a bad person proposed it.
Vegetarianism is not bad because Hitler was a vegetarian. The concept
of BIFT that I am proposing is a general foundation that both the right
and the left can use for their own purposes. The right can reduce BI
way below the poverty line while at the same time reducing FT. Of
course, I totally oppose that idea, but it is theoretically possible.
The left can elevate BI well above the poverty
line, while increasing FT to finance it. I also oppose that, because it
would stifle incentive to work. The point is to democratically find a
middle
path that allows everyone to enjoy the benefits of both appropriately
tamed capitalism (the source of wealth and abundance) and appropriately
democratic socialism (the source of community and solidarity). The aim
of this document is to describe how that middle path can be achieved in
practice.
The
main aim of right-wing politics is to maintain or increase the
wealth of the rich, which usually means maintaining or exacerbating
poverty. One important right-wing strategy is to lie about economics.
It also
helps
to own the media. That being the case, the political left
generally benefits from simplification of
tax-welfare systems:
- Only
the right can afford
expensive accountants to play games with the system. The simpler the
system, the fewer games can be played. An important advantage of
BIFT
is its lack of loopholes, especially if tax deductions (which
traditionally benefit the rich more than the poor) are no longer
allowed.
- An important general strategy of the political
right is
deception. In fact, without deception, the right can hardly win
elections (more). A complicated
tax-welfare system gives the right wing many opportunities to trick
low-income earners into voting for them, against their interests. A good way to
stop the lies, or help people to see through them, is to radically
simplify the system. A simple system is more transparent, and hence
more democratic.
This,
then,
is the left-wing economic theory that I am proposing:
radical simplification of both tax and social security so that poverty
can be eliminated and everyone is motivated to work (but free not to),
and the right can no longer trick and deceive the
left. Democracy based on human rights and honesty.
The art of political
compromise
Imagine a peaceful society with
a high
standard of living and a sustainable economy. It can be achieved by
striving for a balance between two principles: the right-wing principle
of motivation
to work and the
left-wing principle of fairness.
- Motivation:
FT means everyone is equally motivated to
work.
- Fairness:
Universal, unconditional BI means
everyone is valued and
treated equally.
We
don't have to choose between those two alternatives. We can have both.
BIFT shows how it would work.
For individuals, financial
success in one's chosen career usually depends on two things: privilege
and work or talent. You
usually need both to succeed financially, but
there are exceptions. Everyone knows stories of rags to riches (e.g.,
Bob Marley had no privilege, but certainly had talent, and he also
worked hard). There are also stories of rich people who live off their
inheritance and otherwise do very little (see any celebrity gossip
magazine). And there are are the fallen billionaires, and lotto winners
who squander everything. These extreme examples are especially
interesting, so we remember them more easily that other everyday
examples. But they are exceptional. In fact, most people need both
privilege and work/talent to succeed. BIFT makes it possible for
everyone to succeed financially by giving everyone a certain
privilege (BI, corresponding to left-wing ideology), and rewarding
everyone to the same extent for their work/talent (FT, a right-wing
idea).
In that way, BIFT can be truly democratic and bipartisan.
Capitalism has achieved a
lot, but it never managed to eliminate
poverty. In a capitalist economy, a
rich
elite
is in charge (democracy is not working), most people are struggling to
get by (poverty is intrinsic), and the system is gradually destroying
itself (biodiversity loss, climate change, nuclear threat). The communists
similarly tried valiantly and idealistically to eliminate
poverty, but failed. That is because someone has to be
in
charge, and power inevitably
corrupts. Communism sounds great in theory, but in practice
it tends to make everyone poor except
for a small elite. It also has a remarkable tendency toward
self-destruction. The failure of communism does not make capitalism any
better. Humanity
has
tried repeatedly to make either communism or capitalism work,
but neither solution was stable or sustainable.
BIFT offers a middle path. On the political spectrum, BIFT is
centre-left, lying between the
traditional left (Labor) and the centre. BIFT is not anti-communist, nor is
it
anti-capitalist. It is about finding the best compromise. We
already have a compromise of sorts,
but it is
not working very well. The compromise adopted by modern
democratic states accepts capitalism as the main driver of wealth and
tames it, preventing its more destructive laissez-faire tendencies.
That's
good, but we can do better.
The
above graph is
based
on two well-known and widely accepted ideas:
- Regardless
of income, everyone should always have enough money to live on. Freedom
from poverty is a
human right.
- The
more you earn, the more you take home. People should be fairly
rewarded for their
hard work, good ideas, and social contributions.
Regardless
of your political ideology, you can hardly disagree with either
proposition. If you are poor and suddenly start to earn good money, you
surely deserve to keep most of it. If you are rich and suddenly lose
everything, you surely deserve a meal and a roof over your head.
Nothing could be fairer than to treat everyone equally according to
these two principles.
BIFT would treat everyone equally, abolishing the
stigma
of unemployment and class differences. Under BIFT, everyone would have
the same rights and the same
obligations, regardless of income. Everyone would have the right to
work hard and earn
more, the right to be lazy and earn less, the right to take time off
for an indefinite period, the right to be creative, the right to
explore new horizons, and the right
to look after other people without risking poverty.
On the left side of politics, two different ways of
eliminating poverty can be distinguished: eliminating unemployment
and introducing universal BI. Contrary to popular belief, both are
possible. Full employment means the government will offer a
reasonable job
to anyone who wants
one, but will not force anyone to accept any job.
According to Modern
Monetary Theory, any government can do
that simply by creating the money. There is always a lot of work to do
(in sustainable energy,
promoting biodiversity, infrastructure, health and so on). Creating
money causes inflation, which can be avoided by taxing
the rich. The
wealth of the rich is enormous and steadily increasing. The total
global wealth of all billionaires is about $15tn and there is
about $10tn in tax havens. This wealth must be taxed directly to reduce
the power of the rich and move back in the direction of democracy.
Whereas many lefties and unionists prefer the idea of
full employment, many greenies and liberals think that full
employment would restrict people’s freedom too much, and argue
for BI instead. Conversely, whereas many greenies and liberals
prefer BI, many lefties and unionists point out that people need to
work to feel wanted and useful, so it’s better to offer full
employment. But there is no need to choose, because both full
employment and BI are possible at the same time. BIFT aims to
achieve both.
Making capitalism
sustainable
In a market-based economy characterized by long-term
unemployment, a
BI that corresponds roughly to the
poverty
line is the only reliable way to eliminate poverty. In a
free market, there are always winners and losers, so there
is always unemployment. Governments need to ensure that
everyone
can participate in the market and human rights are respected.
BI is
the only reliable solution to this problem.
That's why, in the board game of Monopoly,
every player, rich or poor, gets a
BI of $200,
paid
every time the player passes "go". Without that BI, you
can't
play Monopoly. Of
course, capitalism is only sustainable if monopolies are prevented by
democratic and legal mechanisms, but that is a different issue (more).
Equality of
opportunity can only be guaranteed if
governments give everyone (regardless of other wealth or income) an
amount corresponding to the poverty line, on the condition that in
return everyone (regardless of wealth or income) gives back a certain
proportion of all wealth and a certain proportion of all income. That's
a fair deal for everyone, regardless of differences in wealth in income.
BI is consistent with human rights. It not only treats
everyone equally and with dignity, regardless of wealth or income -- it
also controls and reduces
the gap between rich and poor. The rising
wealth gap is one of the world's most pressing problems, and BI could
be part of the solution; we also need new wealth,
transaction and environment taxes.
Ending slavery and the
working poor
A
slave is a person who is forced to work or face serious
consequences. The most serious
consequence is death. Less serious consequences include punishment and
poverty.
Democratic
countries decided to end slavery long ago. But did they really end it? A
tax-welfare
system that forces people to work is a form of slavery: those
who
reject inappropriate work are threatened with poverty.
BIFT
would abolish slavery completely, for the first time. No one would be
forced to work against their will. At the same time, everyone would be
motivated to work, because welfare traps would be eliminated.
- Young
people would be free to choose their occupation
depending on their skills and interests. The result would be an
unprecedented outburst of creative energy that would benefit society in
unforeseeable positive ways.
- The
unemployed would no longer be stigmatized or
victimized. The working
class would no longer be discriminated against.
- The
category "working
poor" would disappear. People
who work part-time and those whose income lies between unemployment
benefit (perhaps
€1000/mo) and the minimum full-time wage (perhaps €2000/mo)
would enjoy a higher income and easily cover their basic needs.
Currently, about 12% of US-American citizens are poor (with income
below the poverty line, unable to pay for basic needs) and almost half
of them (5%) are working part-time (working poor). The working
poor exist because of how welfare and progressive tax currently work.
Paradoxically, we can end the era of the working poor by ending
the era of welfare and tax brackets and introducing BIFT.
- Employers
would have to offer
their employees what
their work is actually worth in a free and open market. For the first
time, earnings would correspond
to value of work.
- Universal BI would reflect the equal inherent
value of every
person.
Denial
of human
equality has a long and shocking history. The Nazis coined the
phrase lebensunwertes
Leben
(life unworthy of life) for people who were considered biologically
inferior, including those that could not work for health reasons. Many
of those people were murdered. Today, we want to ensure that nothing of
that kind ever happens
again. Universal BI can he by acknowledging the equal
intrinsic worth of every person in a concrete and tangible way.
Ending
poverty
Humanity has achieved many things, including
eliminating slavery and promoting democracy and human
rights, including equal rights for women. All of these goals
were
achieved to a large extent, if not perfectly.
Today, the world is richer
than ever before. It's time to eliminate poverty. That can be
done if three
conditions are fulfilled:
- Everyone
including the unemployed must receive enough money to live on.
- The
unemployed must be rewarded for any paid work (if and when they find
it) by financial
incentives -- like everyone else.
- The
unemployed must be free not
to work, and to accept the consequences -- again, like everyone else.
The
present system does none of these things -- a massive failure.
- In
most countries, long-term unemployment
benefits are not enough to live on.
- If
you are unemployed and get a part-time job, you lose your unemployment
benefit. People are not rewarded for small amounts of work. Welfare
traps of this kind are highly demotivating: people are
often better off if they reject job offers.
- Those
below the poverty line are forced to work in order to survive.
They have no choice. Even then, many don't have enough (the working
poor). That's hardly different from slavery. We may pride
ourselves that we
got rid of slavery long ago, but today's welfare systems show that we
did not.
BIFT
solves all three problems
simultaneously.
- Poverty
is eliminated. BI is enough to live on.
- Everyone
is motivated to work. Regardless of
how many hours you
work, you keep a large part of your earnings (after paying FT).
- Human
dignity is respected. Everyone is free not
to work, for any period of
time. Everyone is free to contribute to society by working for free.
These
principles apply in any country, rich or poor. BIFT is an especially
interesting way to help disadvantaged ("developing") countries improve
their economies. Instead of giving
official development assistance to governmental and
non-governmental organisations, where it sometimes mysteriously
disappears, the governments of richer countries could give directly to
individuals as BI, avoiding
intermediaries. To benefit from this strategy, people in the target
country would need ID cards linked to private registered bank accounts.
Everyone, rich and
poor, would receive the same rate, financed for example by taxes for
the rich, or new measures to
prevent tax evasion and avoidance. The donor countries would help set
up international control structures to ensure the system works
with a minimum of
abuse or corruption. Countries with sexist legal systems would not
qualify unless it was clear that women and girls had independent ID
cards and bank accounts and corresponding equal rights. Weitere
Infos
Basic income would, for the first time in history, realize the human
right to a reasonable standard of living. It would reform public
economics such that human rights were automatically achieved as an
integral part of the system. Caring for the environment would also
become an integral part; basic income would give people the means to
deal rationally with environmental problems. Basic income is an
appropriate foundation for public economics because it simultaneously
promotes efficiency and equity -- treating all people equally, but also
giving people the freedom to be different. weitere
infos
Promoting equity
Economic equity does not mean equal income or equal wealth. It means
equal economic rights and opportunity. It means equal pay for equal
work. Anything else would be arbitrary discrimination.
BIFT shows that it is possible for governments to treat everyone
equally while at the same time
eliminating poverty. That is not only a matter of handouts
(the
left-wing approach). It's also a matter of motivating people to work
(the right-wing approach) and maintaining individual freedoms (which
everyone should be concerned about).
Imagine
a combined tax-welfare system that
(i) eliminates
poverty and
(ii) is so simple and transparent that
everyone can understand it. A system that treats people of all incomes
with equal dignity and fairness, but also with equal strictness. Too
good to be true?
In such a system, welfare and tax would change in several ways:
- Welfare
and tax would be applied in the same way to everyone, regardless of
income.
- Welfare
and tax would be treated as equally important.
- Welfare
and tax would be combined with each other and always treated
together.
- The
rules would be very simple, making the system transparent.
Everyone,
regardless of wealth or income, would be treated equally according to
the same simple rules. That's equity!
- People
on high incomes would be
considered equally deserving of BI (given the
increased tax they are paying) as people on low
incomes.
- People on
low incomes would be equally responsible for paying income tax (giving
the BI they are receiving) as people on high
incomes.
- Poverty
would be eliminated and the situation of the unemployed, the unwaged
(domestic/family work, caring, community service, art), and low earners
would generally improve, regardless of how much paid work they had or
the nature of their employment.
Imagine
that: a world in which people are not only equal on paper, but equal in
reality.
Realising
human rights
Freedom from poverty is
included in the Universal
Declaration of Human Rights. The trouble is, no country in the world is
actually implementing this agreement, because no country in the world
has an unconditional BI. That is a pretty bad track record for humanity
in the early 21st Century. We had better get a move on.
According to Article 25 of the
Universal Declaration
of Human Rights,
(1)
Everyone has
the right to a standard of living adequate for the health and
well-being of himself and of his family, including food, clothing,
housing and medical care and necessary social services, and the right
to security in the event of unemployment, sickness, disability,
widowhood, old age or other lack of livelihood in circumstances beyond
his control.
(2)
Motherhood and childhood are entitled to special care and assistance.
All children, whether born in or out of wedlock, shall enjoy the same
social protection.
These things
can be guaranteed with a universal BI. Whether
they can be guaranteed any other way is a good question. Many countries
are trying to solve these problems by conventional welfare payments,
but data on poverty rates suggest that not many are succeeding. When
bureacrats try to evaluate countless individual cases, their work is
expensive, their success is limited, and they constantly infringe the
right to privacy of their clients. Article 12 of the Universal
Declaration of Human Rights provides that
Article
12. No one
shall be subjected to arbitrary interference with his privacy, family,
home or correspondence, nor to attacks upon his honour and reputation.
Everyone has the right to the protection of the law against such
interference or attacks.
Unemployment
offices are infringing this right all the time! They
believe that they have no choice but to pry into people's
private
lives, in order to guarantee that the welfare system is fairly
administered. This is not true. It
is fairer, more
efficient, and more respectful -- all three of these things -- to give
everyone a BI (flat rate) and tax all other income
(flat rate).
In short: BIFT would allow economic rights that are guaranteed in the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights to be actually achieved
for
the first time.
Redistributing
wealth
Imagine
a radically simplified tax-welfare system that makes it harder for the
rich to avoid
or evade tax. For an individual rich person, the difference between tax
paid before and after
introducing the new system would be bigger than
the BI that everyone receives. At the end of the day, the
rich would have a little less
money (relative to what they have now) and the poor (or those that used
to be poor) would have a lot
more money (relative to what they have now).
There
is a lot of money in the world. There
were 1,810 dollar
billionaires on the 2016 Forbes list, 89% of whom were men. They
altogether owned $6.5 trillion – as much as the
bottom 70%
of humanity (more).
If
this money was distributed equally among
the entire
world's population, each woman, man and child would get $1000.
That's enough to live on for more than a year above a
poverty
line of
$2
per
day.
This
example shows that there is now enough money in the world to
eliminate poverty everywhere, by redistributing part of the
wealth
of the rich. It would not be necessary to redistribute all of their
wealth. The rich would stay rich and there would still be a big gap
between the rich and the not so rich.
How could governments get hold of this money? It's not as hard as many
people think. The government just has to change the law. By
introducing or increasing wealth
taxes.
By harmonizing wealth taxes internationally to prevent capital flight.
By simplifying the law both within and between countries to reduce
opportunities to evade or avoid tax. By improving international
agreements to suppress tax havens. All of these things are possible if
politicians have a clear approach that voters can understand.
That makes eliminating poverty a realistic, win-win
proposition. It is no longer a dangerous
revolutionary battle-cry.
So why don't we go ahead and do it?
Of course, the rich (with some refreshing exceptions) would try to
block such a development. But that's not the only problem.
There
is another big obstacle, it seems. The
rest of us find it hard to imagine a world without poverty, because it
never happened before.
Many people think that only rich
countries can afford BI.
Not true. Every country has its own tax/welfare system and its own
graph of income after tax/welfare against income
before .
Even
without wealth taxes, BI can be financed by converting that graph
to a straight line
-- a "line of best fit" or a "regression line" that balances
the
budget. The point where the line crosses the vertical axis would be the
BI. This process could happen in any country, because the existing
relationship between income before and after tax/welfare in
most
countries is already
surprisingly close to that straight line. To finance a BI,
most
countries
could also get additional revenue from wealth, transaction, or
environment taxes,
especially if there were international agreements to introduce,
harmonize, and
gradually increase those taxes.
BI
would differ a lot from country to
country, but
introducing BI in different countries could help reduce the
differences.
According to the World Bank, the poverty line in poorer countries is
$1.90 per day or $60 per month. But in the USA,
the poverty line is about $1000 per month, according to the Census
Bureau. In Europe, when the poverty line is defined as 60% of median
income, it is about €1000
per month.
Tackling
poverty and climate change
BI could help humanity address the
challenge of climate
change. Climate today's biggest issue, because everything depends on
it. Many people regard climate change as a consequence of capitalism.
Capitalism created climate change and is preventing solutions;
therefore, we need to throw it out. Or so the logic goes. But
capitalism could only be ended violently, and the result is unlikely to
be democratic. We need a more moderate solution that maintains a
reasonable level of democracy (better than what we have now).
Capitalism needs to be tamed and brought under democratic control. BI
is a promising way to achieve that.
Economies have always needed
natural resources, and natural resources
have always been limited. "Economic growth" is traditionally presented
as something positive, but today it may be the biggest force driving
environmental destruction.
In rich countries, we have passed the limit of ecological
sustainability. To get back on track, we need a sustainable economy
with zero or negative economic growth. Poorer countries still need
economic growth, but the growth must be environmentally sustainable.
BIFT would move the economy in the
direction of a new ecological balance, in
two ways. First, it would eliminate the existential necessity of work.
Under
BIFT, work and its benefits would become voluntary. Second, it would
distribute
the incentive to work more equally across socio-economic classes.
Both of these features mean that BIFT would be fairer than the current
system. Everyone would be treated equally. Low income earners could
survive without working, but working would always improve their quality
of life
and enable them to transition to different socio-economic levels. High
income earners would pay more tax, but they would still be
financially rewarded for their
work or success.
The carbon
fee and dividend (CF&D)
approach
to reducing carbon emissions is to tax carbon (or charge a "fee", for
those who are allergic to the word "tax") and give the entire proceeds
back to the general population, divided equally ("dividend"). That way,
everyone could afford the tax (there would be no French yellow
vest effect). In fact, people on low incomes would generally be better
off.
The carbon fee would also apply to imported goods that have not already
been carbon-taxed, which would put other countries under pressure to
adopt a similar system. Both fee and dividend would be introduced
gradually. The
idea is nicely
explained by Californian entrepreneur Dan Miller (Roda group) in a Ted talk.
CF&D
is the same as BIFT (introduced below) with one exception: it taxes
carbon rather than income. The rate of tax is flat in both cases. If
the two ideas co-existed, income tax could be reduced by increasing
carbon tax and vice-versa. In that way, could CF&D
be a
stepping stone toward a simpler, fairer, more motivating tax-welfare
system that eliminates poverty.
In both cases, the rich will resist, because in both cases they would
pay more than they receive and it would be harder for them to play
their usual tricks with legal loopholes. But if more people vote on the
left-green side of politics such reforms are possible.
There is
surprisingly little economic literature on BIFT. Many experts
in public economics must have considered it -- the benefits, after all,
are obvious. But the few who write about it avoid
listing the
multiple
benefits and instead tend to
present misleading
reasons why it should not be introduced. Either that or they exaggerate
the problems relative to the benefits. At the end, they
stop
short of recommending it.
The
reason is presumably that the rich don't
like BIFT. It's
too fair.
It treats everyone equally! The rich prefer the
current corrupt
system, which
is
giving them a free ride. BIFT exposes this gigantic trick. No
wonder it's unpopular.
The present system claims to give special
treatment to the poor: welfare payments and progressive tax scales. But
the present system also gives special treatment to the rich, and at the
end of the day the rich gain much more than the poor. The rich are
hiding their money in tax havens and taking advantage of tax
deductions, hedge funds, black-box charities, donor-advised funds with
huge tax benefits ("philanthropic fracking"), and other accounting
tricks and neoliberal fraud. That is why we still have chronic poverty
and a wide and widening wealth gap. The rich would like to keep things
that way,
which is one way of defining "conservative".
The solution is to radically simplify the system, making it more
transparent so that tricks of this kind are no longer possible. As an
example of such simplification, BIFT should be an important part of
left-wing
politics.
Why
are economists so reluctant to talk
about BIFT? I am not
an economist, so I can only guess the reason. If you are an
economist in mid-career, you are
looking for a permanent position. You know you will only get one if you
publish material that is acceptable to the rich. That is an unwritten
rule in general, but especially in the academic discipline of
economics. If you have ever noticed a certain
political conservatism among professors and leading journals of
economics, that could be the reason.
Seen from this perspective, the discipline of economics may be even
more distorted and corrupted than other academic disciplines. It's not
the fault of individual
economists, many of whom are brilliant mathematicians and sociologists.
It's because economics is about money, which everyone wants. Beyond
that, there are everyday existential reasons. Like everyone else,
economists need
an income to feed their families and pay their mortgages, so they have
to be careful what they say. There are limits to what you can
reasonably talk about, and successful economists know intuitively
where those limits lie.
From that point of view it may be interesting to compare the discipline
of economics with the global community of climate deniers. For decades,
professional deniers have been creating and propagating misleading
theories about climate change, with the aim of preventing urgently
necessary climate action. Behind the global climate denial movement are
massive financial interests. There are similarly massive financial
interests behind the discipline of economics, and they stand in the way
of any attempt to make tax more
fair and transparent, or to expose what is really going on when
governments demand tax from the rich.
So it is no surprise that some economic studies of BIFT have
concluded there is something wrong with it, or it needs
further investigation before it can be taken seriously or implemented.
Many claim that BIFT would be "too expensive" without considering the
extraordinary inefficiency of the current system. The current system is
not only enormously expensive, it is also contributing to
human
self-destruction by climate change, because significant emissions
reductions will only be possible if people can pay high carbon taxes.
For that to work, we need to eliminate poverty first.
Here are a few articles that I found about BIFT and some brief
comments. Articles in which BI is (somewhat misleadingly) called
"negative income tax" are not listed.
- Atkinson,
A. B. (1996). Public economics in action: the basic
income/flat tax proposal. OUP.
The
author of
this book evidently believes in BIFT, otherwise he would
not have written a book about it. But he claims to be neither
for
or against BIFT, and merely suggests that it should be seriously
investigated, knowing full well that it won't.
- Dawkins,
P., Johnson, D., Scutella, R., Beer, G., & Harding, A.
(1998). Towards a negative income tax system for Australia. Australian
Economic Review, 31(3), 237-257.
The
authors
find that "to ensure that no current social security
beneficiaries become worse off under such a system would either be very
expensive to introduce or require a tax rate that is likely to be
unacceptably high". By "very expensive" I guess they mean that the rich
would
have to pay fair levels of tax according to a transparent system,
following the same rules as everyone else.
- Rankin,
K. (2011, June). Basic income flat tax and public property
rights. Proceedings of the 2011 Conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists.
This
author
genuinely believes in BIFT and may have taken some risks by
proposing it directly. In his paper he focuses on some of the real
benefits. He points out that "in New Zealand at least, a de facto BIFT
tax-benefit regime already exists, and that therefore there need be no
significant transitional redistributions arising from a formal adoption
of a Basic Income Flat Tax structure". The same could be said for many
other countries.
- Scutella,
R. (2004). Moves to a basic income-flat tax system in
Australia: Implications for the distribution of income and supply of
labour. Working paper, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and
Social Research.
The
author compares the implications of left-wing (high BI and
high FT) and right-wing (low BI and low FT) versions of BIFT and finds
neither be an acceptable alternative to the current system. By
"acceptable" I guess she means "acceptible to the rich". Everyone
else would love it.
- Strengmann-Kuhn,
W. (2007). Finanzierung eines Gundeinkommens durch
eine „Basic Income Flat Tax“. Grundeinkommen und
Konsumsteuer, Karlsruhe, 140-153.
This is
a
genuine attempt to propose an urgently needed reform. Figure
4 (Abbildung 4, Abb. 4) of this paper
is essentially the same
as the graph the present paper. It shows
how FT goes up as BI goes up and vice versa.
You may be wondering who is writing this and why. It's a fair question.
The short answer is that I studied physics and publish research in
psychology. I am interested
in clear thinking and the correct use of mathematical
arguments.
The longer answer starts in 1987, when I finished writing my doctoral
thesis
at the University of New England in Armidale NSW Australia. I then got
the chance to publish it as a book. But for that I needed another three
months to revise the thesis, taking into account the examiners' many
helpful suggestions. During that time I would have no income.
So I went to the local unemployment office and applied for the "dole".
There was a form to fill in. It asked me to declare all
income,
which would be deducted from the handout. I did indeed have other
income: I was playing the piano in a restaurant and being paid in cash.
But there was no record of that income. I guess only the restaurant
manager and myself knew about it. Should I declare it or not?
Then I looked at the other people standing in line. They were being
asked the same question. The government was generously believing their
answers, but at the same time encouraging them to be dishonest about
their income. The system was also discouraging them to work. If an
honest person was offered a few hours work for cash in that situation,
s/he would be motivated not to accept the offer. How crazy is that?
The importance of encouraging honesty should not be underestimated. We
live in a world of lies and liars.Trumpism is the tip of an iceberg.
Dishonesty is paralyzing our political systems and our democracy. Take
for example the climate denial that is regularly published in the
Murdoch media (Newscorp). Climate denial is
literally threatening
the future survival of humanity. The same applies to international tax
evasion, and many other political problems. Most of our existential
human problems involve lying and dishonesty. We need to improve school
education in the general area of morality and ethics and to promote a
positive society based on personal trust, in which each individual's
personal dignity depends on her or his own honesty and reliability.
Back then in Armidale NSW, I had been studying physics and doing a lot
of
mathematical modeling and computer programming. With that in mind, the
solution was obvious: just take the current rather complex graph of net
income against gross income and draw a straight line through it ("line
of best fit", "regression line"). In other words: give everyone the
"dole" and tax all income at the same flat rate. Treat everyone equally
and close the unemployment office. Suddenly everyone would have enough
to live on, everyone would be motivated to work, and the government
would no longer encourage people to lie about their income. Bingo!
I also realised that BIFT is implicitly progressive, and realised how
important it is for people to understand two points: First, under BIFT
the more you earn the higher proportion of your income is paid in tax.
Second, the tax brackets of the present system encourage dishonesty.
Creative accounts use them to avoid tax by shifting income around. Tax
evasion is regressive, if people on higher incomes (the ones who can
afford good accountants) end up paying a smaller proportion of their
income in tax than people on lower incomes. The best way to ensure that
all income tax is paid in full is to make the tax rate flat.
Ever since then I have been trying to explain this idea to other people
-- mostly in vain. What could be more surprising than an idea that
hardly anyone understands -- although it would clearly benefit everyone
and the whole society. And the idea is so simple!
I started by publishing a short article in Nucleus,
the student newspaper of the University of New England. Later, I found
out that the idea of negative
income tax had been around for
decades, but for some reason no-one
had managed to introduce it and there was almost no discussion about
it. It's a bit like global warming -- in the 1980s, as now, it was the
most important thing I should have learned about in my physics
training, but to my knowledge none of my teachers ever mentioned it.
Incidentally,
I am not writing this in an attempt to
improve my own income. I am lucky that my income is good, typical of
the middle of the middle class in a rich country. If anything, BIFT
would slightly reduce my net income, because it would slightly reduce
the incomes of most moderately good earners to finance the BI. That is
surely a small price to pay for the satisfaction of seeing poverty
eliminated and living in a fairer, more democratic society. I have
only one thing to gain from this idea being more widely understood, and
that is the satisfaction of living in a saner world.
Acknowledgments. I thank
Martin Diendorfer, Manfred Füllsack, Robert Hill,
Lukas Meyer, and Georg Quaas for useful feedback.